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Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Dominica

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Friendly International 2024 Victoria Park
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AI Match Summary

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines play Dominica in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Dominica averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines won 1, Dominica won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 5, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and 0.81 for Dominica. This points to a Saint Vincent and the Grenadines double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
15%
Draws
42%
Dominica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines picked up more points recently compared to Dominica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 26%
Dominica Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Dominica
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Friendly International
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Dominica
2:0
May 2, 2024 Friendly International
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Dominica
1:3
May 15, 2022 Friendly International
Dominica vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3:1
May 12, 2022 Friendly International
Dominica vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
2:1
Nov 18, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominica vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer Velox O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Dominica Compare

Top Goalscorer Laville A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bertrand C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 44 / 100
Dominica 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Dominica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines attacking → ← attacking Dominica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines scored in 94% of their last 33 games.

Dominica let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dominica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 35
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50