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Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Montserrat

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Antonio Trinidad Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Stewart C.
Assist: Bishon R.
45'
McLean C.
45'
Boatswain A.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and Montserrat finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
6%
Draws
4%
Montserrat
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Montserrat haven't matched Saint Vincent and the Grenadines's recent run of results.
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 20%
Montserrat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Montserrat
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Montserrat vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Montserrat
2:0
Oct 7, 2010 Caribbean Cup
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Montserrat
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spring D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Montserrat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 85 / 100
Montserrat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Montserrat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SVG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Montserrat conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines VS Montserrat
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador650112:615
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines641112:713
3Bonaire61144:84
4Montserrat61053:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Curacao641115:313
2Saint Lucia63037:159
3Grenada62137:67
4Saint Martin62048:136
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti660029:518
2Puerto Rico630311:129
3Sint Maarten63037:189
4Aruba60065:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominican Republic660027:418
2Bermuda640215:1312
3Dominica61146:184
4Antigua and Barbuda60152:151