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Stadium Background

Sainte-Marienne vs Capricorne

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023 Stade Nelson Mandela, Sainte-Marie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Capricorne in this Regionale 1 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capricorne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sainte-Marienne
15%
Draws
85%
Capricorne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capricorne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Capricorne haven't matched Sainte-Marienne's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Capricorne a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionale 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sainte-Marienne Clean Sheet 20%
Capricorne Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sainte-Marienne Capricorne
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.73 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 Regionale 1
Capricorne vs Sainte-Marienne
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Capricorne
1:2
Jul 14, 2022 Regionale 1
Capricorne vs Sainte-Marienne
1:0
Apr 10, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Capricorne
3:2
Nov 21, 2021 Regionale 1
Capricorne vs Sainte-Marienne
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sainte-Marienne 10 / 100
Capricorne 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sainte-Marienne Capricorne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capricorne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sainte-Marienne scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Capricorne has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Capricorne's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sainte-Marienne VS Capricorne
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sainte-Marienne

(Home)
26 Nov
Tamponnaise
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
19 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
1 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
12 Nov
Sainte-Suzanne
4 : 0
Sainte-Marienne
05 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
0 : 3
Saint Louis
22 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
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Capricorne

(Away)
26 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
2 : 0
Capricorne
22 Nov
Capricorne
1 : 3
Tamponnaise
12 Nov
Saint-Pierroise
3 : 1
Capricorne
05 Nov
Capricorne
0 : 1
Sainte-Suzanne
22 Oct
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Capricorne
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