Sport Picks

Réunion

Regionale 1 2023 Stade Nelson Mandela

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sainte-Marienne host Saint-Pauloise FC in the Regionale 1 2023. This has Saint-Pauloise FC written all over it on paper. Saint-Pauloise FC have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Sainte-Marienne have conceded 0 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Sainte-Marienne have won 2 to Saint-Pauloise FC's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 22, 2023, ending 6:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Saint-Pauloise FC to edge this. Saint-Pauloise FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Sainte-Marienne

Draws

90%

Saint-Pauloise FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saint-Pauloise FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Saint-Pauloise FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sainte-Marienne.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Saint-Pauloise FC.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Regionale 1 2023 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Sainte-Marienne Clean Sheet 20%

Saint-Pauloise FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sainte-Marienne	Saint-Pauloise FC
Matches Played	30	44
Wins	6	23
Draws	5	13
Losses	19	8
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Regionale 1

Saint-Pauloise FC vs Sainte-Marienne

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

6:1

May 28, 2023 Regionale 1

Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Pauloise FC

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 4 - 3

0:4

Jul 17, 2022 Regionale 1

Saint-Pauloise FC vs Sainte-Marienne

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Apr 17, 2022 Regionale 1

Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Pauloise FC

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Oct 23, 2021 Regionale 1

Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Pauloise FC

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sainte-Marienne 10 / 100

Saint-Pauloise FC 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sainte-Marienne Saint-Pauloise FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sainte-Marienne scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Saint-Pauloise FC let in goals in 70% of their last 44 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sainte-Marienne went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Saint-Pauloise FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Saint-Pauloise FC

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 1

0% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%