Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Pauloise FC

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023 Stade Nelson Mandela, Sainte-Marie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 2023 game between Sainte-Marienne and Saint-Pauloise FC finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Pauloise FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sainte-Marienne
15%
Draws
85%
Saint-Pauloise FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint-Pauloise FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sainte-Marienne haven't matched Saint-Pauloise FC's recent run of results.
  • Saint-Pauloise FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Regionale 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sainte-Marienne Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Pauloise FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sainte-Marienne Saint-Pauloise FC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.73 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.27 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Regionale 1
Saint-Pauloise FC vs Sainte-Marienne
6:1
May 28, 2023 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Pauloise FC
0:4
Jul 17, 2022 Regionale 1
Saint-Pauloise FC vs Sainte-Marienne
1:1
Apr 17, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Pauloise FC
1:0
Oct 23, 2021 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Pauloise FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sainte-Marienne 10 / 100
Saint-Pauloise FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sainte-Marienne Saint-Pauloise FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Pauloise FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sainte-Marienne scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Saint-Pauloise FC has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Saint-Pauloise FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Saint-Pauloise FC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sainte-Marienne

(Home)
26 Nov
Tamponnaise
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
19 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
1 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
12 Nov
Sainte-Suzanne
4 : 0
Sainte-Marienne
05 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
0 : 3
Saint Louis
22 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
Page 1 of 6

Saint-Pauloise FC

(Away)
29 Nov
Laval
6 : 0
Saint-Pauloise FC
21 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
4 : 0
Marsouins
16 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
1 : 0
Dominicaine
09 Nov
Riviere des Galets
1 : 3
Saint-Pauloise FC
02 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
2 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
Page 1 of 7