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Stadium Background

Sainte Rose vs Marsouins

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 game between Sainte Rose and Marsouins finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sainte Rose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sainte Rose
6%
Draws
4%
Marsouins
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sainte Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sainte Rose come out ahead of Marsouins on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Sainte Rose taking it.
  • Regular Regionale 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sainte Rose here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sainte Rose Clean Sheet 20%
Marsouins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sainte Rose Marsouins
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Sainte Rose
1:1
May 11, 2025 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Marsouins
3:0
Aug 28, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Marsouins
2:1
May 8, 2022 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Sainte Rose
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sainte Rose 85 / 100
Marsouins 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sainte Rose Marsouins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sainte Rose scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Marsouins has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Sainte Rose stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sainte Rose VS Marsouins
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sainte Rose

(Home)
23 Nov
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Sainte Rose
09 Nov
Sainte Rose
4 : 1
Piton Saint-Leu
02 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 2
Sainte Rose
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
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Marsouins

(Away)
21 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
4 : 0
Marsouins
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Dominicaine
3 : 0
Marsouins
19 Oct
Marsouins
1 : 1
Saint Louis
12 Oct
Piton Saint-Leu
2 : 0
Marsouins
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