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Sainte Rose vs Tamponnaise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionale 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sainte Rose
30%
Draws
33%
Tamponnaise
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sainte Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Tamponnaise have won more games recently than Sainte Rose.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sainte Rose Clean Sheet 20%
Tamponnaise Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sainte Rose Tamponnaise
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Sainte Rose
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Tamponnaise
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Tamponnaise
0:2
May 12, 2024 Regionale 1
Tamponnaise vs Sainte Rose
3:1
Sep 11, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Tamponnaise
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sainte Rose 32 / 100
Tamponnaise 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sainte Rose Tamponnaise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sainte Rose scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sainte Rose went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tamponnaise's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sainte Rose VS Tamponnaise
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sainte Rose

(Home)
23 Nov
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Sainte Rose
09 Nov
Sainte Rose
4 : 1
Piton Saint-Leu
02 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 2
Sainte Rose
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
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Tamponnaise

(Away)
23 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 6
Tamponnaise
09 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 0
Saint-Pierroise
02 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 1
Saint-Denis
18 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
2 : 1
Tamponnaise
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
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