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Saipa vs Naft Bandar Abbas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Seifi A.

AI Match Summary

Saipa in this Azadegan League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saipa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Saipa
20%
Draws
24%
Naft Bandar Abbas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saipa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Saipa have won more games recently than Naft Bandar Abbas.
  • Saipa are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saipa have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Saipa Clean Sheet 20%
Naft Bandar Abbas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saipa Naft Bandar Abbas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 15
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.07 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Naft Bandar Abbas
1:0
Dec 27, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Saipa
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Naft Bandar Abbas
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Saipa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saipa Compare

Top Goalscorer Seifi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Naft Bandar Abbas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saipa 58 / 100
Naft Bandar Abbas 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saipa Naft Bandar Abbas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saipa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saipa found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Saipa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Naft Bandar Abbas let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saipa VS Naft Bandar Abbas
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saipa

(Home)
04 Oct
Shahin Bandar Ameri
2 : 0
Saipa
28 Sept
Saipa
2 : 1
Niroye Zamini
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

Naft Bandar Abbas

(Away)
05 Oct
Besat Kermanshah
2 : 1
Naft Bandar Abbas
28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
22 Sept
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0 : 1
Naft Bandar Abbas
15 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
1 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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