Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saipa vs Naft Bandar Abbas

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Seifi A.

AI Match Summary

Saipa in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saipa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Saipa
39%
Draws
31%
Naft Bandar Abbas
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Saipa have won more games recently than Naft Bandar Abbas.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saipa have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Saipa Clean Sheet 20%
Naft Bandar Abbas Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saipa Naft Bandar Abbas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 16
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Naft Bandar Abbas
1:0
Dec 27, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Saipa
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Naft Bandar Abbas
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Saipa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saipa Compare

Top Goalscorer Seifi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Naft Bandar Abbas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saipa 31 / 100
Naft Bandar Abbas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saipa Naft Bandar Abbas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saipa found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Saipa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Naft Bandar Abbas let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saipa VS Naft Bandar Abbas
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saipa

(Home)
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Fard
2 : 1
Saipa
21 Jun
Saipa
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
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Naft Bandar Abbas

(Away)
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
11 Jul
Naft Bandar Abbas
3 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
03 Jul
Mes Kerman
0 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
27 Jun
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2026/2027 (Main)
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