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Saipa vs Navad Urmia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Seifi A.

AI Match Summary

Saipa in this Azadegan League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saipa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Saipa
15%
Draws
0%
Navad Urmia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saipa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saipa lately — more wins on the board than Navad Urmia.
  • Saipa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Saipa Clean Sheet 68%
Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saipa Navad Urmia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.07 0.47
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Saipa
0:2
Jan 3, 2026 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Navad Urmia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saipa Compare

Top Goalscorer Seifi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Navad Urmia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.24
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saipa 95 / 100
Navad Urmia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saipa Navad Urmia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saipa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navad Urmia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Saipa's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Navad Urmia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Saipa VS Navad Urmia
1 Goals Scored 0.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saipa

(Home)
04 Oct
Shahin Bandar Ameri
2 : 0
Saipa
28 Sept
Saipa
2 : 1
Niroye Zamini
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

Navad Urmia

(Away)
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
03 Jul
Navad Urmia
1 : 4
Sanat Naft
27 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
2 : 0
Navad Urmia
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
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