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Saipa vs Shahin Bandar Ameri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Division 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Faraji R.
42' Event
Doroudi N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Saipa
30%
Draws
23%
Shahin Bandar Ameri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saipa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saipa lately — more wins on the board than Shahin Bandar Ameri.
  • Saipa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Saipa Clean Sheet 20%
Shahin Bandar Ameri Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saipa Shahin Bandar Ameri
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 17 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.07 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.68 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Azadegan League
Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Saipa
2:0
Mar 10, 2024 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Shahin Bandar Ameri
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saipa Compare

Top Goalscorer Faraji R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Shahin Bandar Ameri Compare

Top Goalscorer Doroudi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saipa 40 / 100
Shahin Bandar Ameri 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saipa Shahin Bandar Ameri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saipa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saipa's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Shahin Bandar Ameri conceded in 68% of 22 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Saipa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saipa VS Shahin Bandar Ameri
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.6
38% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 20%
0% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Saipa

(Home)
04 Oct
Shahin Bandar Ameri
2 : 0
Saipa
28 Sept
Saipa
2 : 1
Niroye Zamini
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

Shahin Bandar Ameri

(Away)
04 Oct
Shahin Bandar Ameri
2 : 0
Saipa
27 Sept
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
2 : 2
Shahin Bandar Ameri
21 Sept
Shahin Bandar Ameri
0 : 0
Pars Janoobi Jam
15 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
1 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
10 Jun
Mes Shahr Babak
2 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kheybar Khorramabad 34 25 2 7 59:25 77
2 Fajr Sepasi 34 22 7 5 50:17 73
3 Chadormalu 34 22 7 5 47:20 73
4 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 34 16 13 5 47:29 58
5 Saipa 34 13 11 10 35:28 50
6 Mes Kerman 34 11 15 8 28:24 48
7 Ario Eslamshahr 34 11 13 10 28:28 46
8 Mes Shahr Babak 34 11 11 12 32:26 44
9 Naft Gachsaran 34 10 13 11 35:26 43
10 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 11 10 13 27:34 43
11 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 11 10 13 33:42 43
12 Esteghlal Molasani 34 10 13 11 26:33 38
13 Shahre Raz 34 8 12 14 25:34 36
14 Shahrdari Astara 34 9 6 19 22:44 33
15 Damash Gilan 34 7 11 16 32:45 32
16 Darya Babol 34 6 13 15 30:41 31
17 Shahin Bandar Ameri 34 4 9 8 21:51 27
18 Khoosheh Talai 34 6 6 22 17:47 24
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