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Sakaryaspor vs Bodrumspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sub
Kakuta G. In: Sen K.
Out: Kakuta G.
44' Event
Tarim I.
Assist: Aytemur A.
45'
Kolovetsios D.

AI Match Summary

Bodrumspor in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bodrumspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sakaryaspor
6%
Draws
90%
Bodrumspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bodrumspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sakaryaspor haven't matched Bodrumspor's recent run of results.
  • Bodrumspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bodrumspor have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 11%
Bodrumspor Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sakaryaspor Bodrumspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Bodrumspor
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 1. Lig
Bodrumspor vs Sakaryaspor
3:1
May 30, 2024 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Bodrumspor
1:3
Feb 10, 2024 1. Lig
Bodrumspor vs Sakaryaspor
0:0
Sep 18, 2023 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Bodrumspor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sakaryaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Bodrumspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarim I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dimitrov Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakaryaspor 10 / 100
Bodrumspor 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sakaryaspor Bodrumspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bodrumspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sakaryaspor found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Sakaryaspor stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sakaryaspor VS Bodrumspor
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54