Sport Picks
Sakaryaspor vs Erzurumspor FK
Turkey
1. Lig 2025/2026 Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum, Adapazari 
Match Events
30'
30'
Dursun S.
61'
61'
Crociata G.
Assist: Akgun S.
67'
67'
Sub
Bostan M. In: Yildirim P.
Out: Bostan M.
AI Match Summary
Erzurumspor FK in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erzurumspor FK.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sakaryaspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Erzurumspor FK have won more games recently than Sakaryaspor.
- Sakaryaspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sakaryaspor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 9, 2026 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Erzurumspor FK
0:1
Sep 15, 2025 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Sakaryaspor
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Erzurumspor FK
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Sakaryaspor
0:0
Dec 18, 2024 Turkish Cup
Erzurumspor FK vs Sakaryaspor
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sakaryaspor Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Erzurumspor FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Crociata G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sakaryaspor 95 / 100
Erzurumspor FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sakaryaspor Erzurumspor FK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sakaryaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sakaryaspor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Sakaryaspor scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Erzurumspor FK conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Sakaryaspor VS Erzurumspor FK
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sakaryaspor
(Home) 27 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0 Kutahyaspor
20 Sept
K. Istklalspor
1 : 3 Sakaryaspor
13 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0 Adana 01
06 Sept
Trabzon FK
2 : 3 Sakaryaspor
01 May
Manisa FK
5 : 0 Sakaryaspor
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0 Kutahyaspor
13 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0 Adana 01
26 Apr
Sakaryaspor
0 : 4 Corum FK
13 Apr
Sakaryaspor
1 : 2 Erokspor
04 Apr
Sakaryaspor
2 : 2 Istanbulspor AS
Page 1 of 3
Erzurumspor FK
(Away) 20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Konyaspor
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
21 Aug
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 4 Galatasaray
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
16 Aug
Amedspor
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
04 Aug
Alanyaspor
0 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
02 May
Corum FK
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erzurumspor FK | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum FK | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | 14 |
| 20 | Adanademirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -54 |
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
