Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum

Sakaryaspor

2 - 2

Istanbulspor AS

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Yildirim P.

45'

Cham A.

52'

Vukovic J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Sakaryaspor and Istanbulspor AS finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Sakaryaspor

Draws

90%

Istanbulspor AS

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Istanbulspor AS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Istanbulspor AS come out ahead of Sakaryaspor on wins alone.
Model gives Istanbulspor AS a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 19%

Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sakaryaspor	Istanbulspor AS
Matches Played	31	32
Wins	6	12
Draws	8	8
Losses	17	12
Goals Scored	1.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 1. Lig

Sakaryaspor vs Istanbulspor AS

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Nov 22, 2025 1. Lig

Istanbulspor AS vs Sakaryaspor

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

3:3

Mar 6, 2025 1. Lig

Istanbulspor AS vs Sakaryaspor

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

3:0

Oct 20, 2024 1. Lig

Sakaryaspor vs Istanbulspor AS

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

3:1

Apr 27, 2008 1. Lig

Sakaryaspor vs Istanbulspor AS

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sakaryaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildirim P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bostan M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Istanbulspor AS Compare

Top Goalscorer Cham A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Duymaz O. F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakaryaspor 10 / 100

Istanbulspor AS 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sakaryaspor Istanbulspor AS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IST Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Istanbulspor AS has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Sakaryaspor found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Sakaryaspor remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sakaryaspor VS Istanbulspor AS

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54