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Sakhalinets vs Arsenal Tula 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Evgenjev E.
46' Event
Gainullin R. R.
63' Event
Vasichenko R.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 game between Sakhalinets and Arsenal Tula 2 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sakhalinets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Sakhalinets
20%
Draws
11%
Arsenal Tula 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sakhalinets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Sakhalinets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sakhalinets's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sakhalinets have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sakhalinets Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sakhalinets Arsenal Tula 2
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 11
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sakhalinets vs Arsenal Tula 2
3:0
Nov 5, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Sakhalinets vs Arsenal Tula 2
5:1
Sep 10, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Sakhalinets
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sakhalinets Compare

Top Goalscorer Evgenjev E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gainullin R. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakhalinets 85 / 100
Arsenal Tula 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sakhalinets Arsenal Tula 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakhalinets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Sakhalinets scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Sakhalinets remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arsenal Tula 2
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sakhalinets

(Home)
12 Nov
Sakhalinets
2 : 1
Kvant Obninsk
05 Nov
Strogino Moscow
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
29 Oct
Sakhalinets
3 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
23 Oct
Ryazan
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
15 Oct
Sakhalinets
0 : 2
Krasnoye Znamya
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Arsenal Tula 2

(Away)
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0
M. Lipetsk
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaluga 17 12 3 2 50:6 39
2 Sakhalinets 17 11 3 3 38:21 36
3 Spartak Tambov 17 10 3 4 26:22 33
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 17 10 0 7 30:21 30
5 Arsenal Tula 2 17 8 6 3 24:16 30
6 FK Kompozit 17 8 5 4 28:20 29
7 Saturn Ramenskoye 17 9 2 6 30:18 29
8 SKA Khabarovsk 2 17 8 1 8 30:29 25
9 Penza 17 7 4 6 22:26 25
10 Kosmos 17 6 5 6 24:28 23
11 Sakhalin 17 7 2 8 16:19 23
12 Kvant Obninsk 17 6 5 6 19:27 23
13 Krasnoye Znamya 17 6 4 7 18:26 22
14 Khimki 2 17 6 1 10 20:28 19
15 Ryazan 17 4 3 10 24:27 15
16 Strogino Moscow 17 3 5 9 28:36 14
17 FK Kolomna 17 1 5 11 17:41 8
18 Peresvet 17 2 1 14 21:54 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2023/2024 (Spring Season)