Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saksan vs Falesti

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saksan in this Liga 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saksan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Saksan
15%
Draws
21%
Falesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saksan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Saksan have won more games recently than Falesti.
  • Saksan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saksan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Saksan Clean Sheet 19%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saksan Falesti
Matches Played 33 41
Wins 23 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 24
Goals Scored 3.06 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.82 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2025 Super Liga
Saksan vs Falesti
2:0
May 10, 2025 Super Liga
Saksan vs Falesti
2:0
Apr 11, 2025 Super Liga
Falesti vs Saksan
0:3
Nov 2, 2024 Liga 1
Saksan vs Falesti
4:0
Sep 21, 2024 Liga 1
Saksan vs Falesti
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saksan 85 / 100
Falesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saksan Falesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saksan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saksan scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Falesti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 41 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Saksan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Falesti
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Saksan

(Home)
28 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Speranis
21 May
Saksan
2 : 0
Falesti
16 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Iskra Ribnita
10 May
Saksan
2 : 0
Falesti
06 May
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
Saksan
Page 1 of 7

Falesti

(Away)
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
14 Aug
Oguzsport
0 : 0
Falesti
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 15 11 1 3 46:17 34
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 15 10 2 3 38:10 32
3 Speranta Drochia 15 6 3 6 14:15 21
4 Iskra Ribnita 15 6 3 6 24:32 21
5 FCM Ungheni 15 6 2 7 38:30 20
6 Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol 15 0 1 14 6:62 1
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saksan 15 10 5 0 44:14 35
2 Univer Comrat 15 10 3 2 33:18 33
3 Speranis 15 5 4 6 26:28 19
4 Falesti 15 5 2 8 24:32 17
5 Olimp Comrat 15 4 5 6 19:24 17
6 Real Succes 15 1 1 13 14:44 4
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)