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Saksan vs Iskra Ribnita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Musteata B.
73' Event
Musteata B.
89' Event
Cucer D.

AI Match Summary

Saksan in this Super Liga 2024/2025 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Saksan
15%
Draws
42%
Iskra Ribnita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saksan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Saksan have won more games recently than Iskra Ribnita.
  • Win probability leans Saksan's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Saksan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Saksan, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saksan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Saksan Clean Sheet 20%
Iskra Ribnita Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saksan Iskra Ribnita
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 23 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 3.06 2
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2025 Super Liga
Saksan vs Iskra Ribnita
4:0
May 17, 2024 Super Liga
Saksan vs Iskra Ribnita
4:0
Sep 23, 2018 Liga 1
Iskra Ribnita vs Saksan
1:3
Jun 6, 2018 Liga 1
Saksan vs Iskra Ribnita
1:0
Nov 18, 2017 Liga 1
Saksan vs Iskra Ribnita
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saksan Compare

Top Goalscorer Musteata B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cucer D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Iskra Ribnita Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saksan 76 / 100
Iskra Ribnita 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saksan Iskra Ribnita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saksan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saksan found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (33 games).

Iskra Ribnita's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Saksan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Iskra Ribnita
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saksan

(Home)
28 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Speranis
21 May
Saksan
2 : 0
Falesti
16 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Iskra Ribnita
10 May
Saksan
2 : 0
Falesti
06 May
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
Saksan
Page 1 of 7

Iskra Ribnita

(Away)
18 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
2 : 0
Zimbru Chisinau 2
11 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
2 : 1
Iskra Ribnita
05 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
1 : 0
Univer Comrat
02 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
4 : 1
Tarigrad
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Victoria -
TBD -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni -
Stauceni -
TBD -
Speranis 3
Olimp Comrat 1
Saksan -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 2
Iskra Ribnita 3
Falesti -
TBD -
TBD -
Floresti -
Quarter-finals
Victoria 3
FCM Ungheni 1
Stauceni 0
Speranis 1
Saksan 4
Iskra Ribnita 0
Falesti 2
Floresti 0
Semi-finals
Victoria 0
Speranis 2
Saksan 2
Falesti 0
Final
Speranis 0
Saksan 4