Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saksan vs Real Succes

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saksan in this Liga 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saksan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Saksan
15%
Draws
21%
Real Succes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saksan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saksan lately — more wins on the board than Real Succes.
  • Model gives Saksan a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Saksan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Saksan Clean Sheet 20%
Real Succes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saksan Real Succes
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 23 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 5 22
Goals Scored 3.06 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.82 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 16, 2023 Liga 1
Saksan vs Real Succes
6:0
Nov 4, 2023 Liga 1
Real Succes vs Saksan
0:5
Sep 23, 2023 Liga 1
Saksan vs Real Succes
4:2
Sep 19, 2018 Liga 1
Saksan vs Real Succes
6:3
May 5, 2018 Liga 1
Real Succes vs Saksan
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saksan 85 / 100
Real Succes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saksan Real Succes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saksan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saksan scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Real Succes conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Saksan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saksan VS -
4 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saksan

(Home)
28 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Speranis
21 May
Saksan
2 : 0
Falesti
16 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Iskra Ribnita
10 May
Saksan
2 : 0
Falesti
06 May
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
Saksan
Page 1 of 7

Real Succes

(Away)
22 Oct
Real Succes
0 : 7
EFA Visoca
24 Sept
Real Succes
3 : 2
Vulturii Cutezatori
26 Apr
Real Succes
3 : 3
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
19 Apr
Iskra Ribnita
3 : 0
Real Succes
12 Apr
Falesti
3 : 2
Real Succes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 15 11 1 3 46:17 34
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 15 10 2 3 38:10 32
3 Speranta Drochia 15 6 3 6 14:15 21
4 Iskra Ribnita 15 6 3 6 24:32 21
5 FCM Ungheni 15 6 2 7 38:30 20
6 Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol 15 0 1 14 6:62 1
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saksan 15 10 5 0 44:14 35
2 Univer Comrat 15 10 3 2 33:18 33
3 Speranis 15 5 4 6 26:28 19
4 Falesti 15 5 2 8 24:32 17
5 Olimp Comrat 15 4 5 6 19:24 17
6 Real Succes 15 1 1 13 14:44 4
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)