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Saku Sporting W vs Elva W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Rokka S.
16' Event
Saulus K.
21' Event
Saulus K.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women game between Saku Sporting W and Elva W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Saku Sporting W
15%
Draws
8%
Elva W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saku Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Saku Sporting W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Saku Sporting W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Saku Sporting W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Saku Sporting W Clean Sheet 16%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saku Sporting W Elva W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 2.7 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.1 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
5:1
Aug 23, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Saku Sporting W
1:4
Aug 1, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Saku Sporting W
2:8
Mar 21, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
2:2
Oct 10, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saku Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Saulus K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.93
Avg xA / game 1.91

Elva W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rokka S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hudsi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saku Sporting W 84 / 100
Elva W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saku Sporting W Elva W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saku Sporting W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saku Sporting W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Elva W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Saku Sporting W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saku Sporting W VS Elva W
3.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Saku Sporting W

(Home)
03 Oct
Saku Sporting W
3 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond W
26 Sept
Saku Sporting W
1 : 5
Flora W
19 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
4 : 2
Saku Sporting W
12 Sept
Viimsi JK W
0 : 4
Saku Sporting W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
Page 1 of 6

Elva W

(Away)
03 Oct
Viimsi JK W
3 : 3
Elva W
26 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
9 : 1
Elva W
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 21 14 3 4 66:24 45
2 Paide Linnameeskond W 21 14 0 7 63:34 42
3 Saku Sporting W 21 11 2 8 55:47 35
4 Viimsi JK W 21 10 4 7 47:35 34
5 Harju JK Laagri W 21 4 3 14 31:61 15
6 Elva W 21 3 2 16 29:90 11
Relegation - Meistriliiga Women (Relegation)