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Salamanca CF UDS vs Lealtad

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Serrano M.
71' Event
Montes S.
72' Event
Martinez A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Salamanca CF UDS and Lealtad finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salamanca CF UDS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Salamanca CF UDS
28%
Draws
22%
Lealtad
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Salamanca CF UDS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Salamanca CF UDS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Salamanca CF UDS a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Salamanca CF UDS Clean Sheet 68%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salamanca CF UDS Lealtad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Salamanca CF UDS vs Lealtad
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Lealtad vs Salamanca CF UDS
0:1
May 2, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Lealtad vs Salamanca CF UDS
0:0
Apr 4, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Salamanca CF UDS vs Lealtad
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salamanca CF UDS Compare

Top Goalscorer Serrano M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lealtad Compare

Top Goalscorer Montes S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salamanca CF UDS 59 / 100
Lealtad 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salamanca CF UDS Lealtad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lealtad let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Salamanca CF UDS found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Lealtad registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salamanca CF UDS VS Lealtad
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Fabril34209559:2269
2Real Oviedo B341610850:3558
3Numancia341511846:3156
4UD Ourense341510940:3455
5Coruxo FC341571246:3752
6Gimnastica Segoviana341491137:3651
7Real Avila341481248:5250
8Salamanca CF UDS341481243:3650
9Rayo Cantabria341115863:5048
10Bergantinos341391244:3748
11Atletico Astorga341291341:4345
12Marino De Luanco3411121131:2645
13Valladolid Promesas341291359:5845
14Langreo3411101335:4143
15Sarriana341171642:4240
16Burgos CF B348121438:5536
17Lealtad34772031:5428
18UD Samano34362523:8715