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Salaspils FK vs Grobina

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Dobrecovs D.
42' Event
Ziemelis V.
43' Event
Pavlenko E.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2022 game between Salaspils FK and Grobina finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grobina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Salaspils FK
28%
Draws
22%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Salaspils FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grobina come out ahead of Salaspils FK on wins alone.
  • Salaspils FK are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Salaspils FK Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salaspils FK Grobina
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 13
Draws 3 10
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 2.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2022 Nakotnes liga
Salaspils FK vs Grobina
2:3
Aug 24, 2022 Nakotnes liga
Grobina vs Salaspils FK
9:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salaspils FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlenko E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caika D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobrecovs D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ziemelis V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salaspils FK 49 / 100
Grobina 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salaspils FK Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 8.50 goals.

Salaspils FK scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Grobina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 35 matches.

Solid form: Salaspils FK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Salaspils FK VS Grobina
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salaspils FK

(Home)
20 Jun
Salaspils FK
1 : 3
Speks
30 May
Saldus NSS
0 : 4
Salaspils FK
21 Jun
Salaspils FK
4 : 5
Leevon PPK
01 Jun
RSU
0 : 6
Salaspils FK
18 May
Kuldigas/Goldingen
2 : 3
Salaspils FK
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Grobina

(Away)
20 Jul
Super Nova
2 : 0
Grobina
12 Jul
Marupe
0 : 1
Grobina
05 Jul
Grobina
3 : 1
Tukums 2000
29 Jun
Jelgava
2 : 0
Grobina
25 Jun
Grobina
0 : 0
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jelgava26241176:1373
2Riga FC 226193484:2760
3Grobina26172785:3953
4Valmiera 226171890:3752
5RFS 226144875:4346
6Alberts JDFS26136738:2545
7Skanste26107934:4137
8AFA Olaine26741538:7225
9Salaspils FK26741540:7525
10Saldus SS/Leevon26651534:4923
11Tukums 2000 226641633:6622
12Dinamo Riga26641617:5722
13Rezekne26631733:7021
14FK Smiltene26441824:8716
Promotion - Optibet Virsliga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Optibet Virsliga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Relegation)