Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Salaspils FK vs Grobina Prediction & H2H Stats

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Dobrecovs D.
42' Event
Ziemelis V.
43' Event
Pavlenko E.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2022 game between Salaspils FK and Grobina finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grobina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Salaspils FK
20%
Draws
29%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salaspils FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Grobina have managed 1.19 goals a game lately — Salaspils FK are scoring more at 2.23.
  • Salaspils FK are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Salaspils FK Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salaspils FK Grobina
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 10
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 2.23 1.19
Goals Conceded 3.33 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2022 1. Liga
Salaspils FK vs Grobina
2:3
Aug 24, 2022 1. Liga
Grobina vs Salaspils FK
9:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salaspils FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlenko E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caika D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobrecovs D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ziemelis V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salaspils FK 58 / 100
Grobina 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salaspils FK Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salaspils FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 8.50 goals.

Salaspils FK scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Grobina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 36 matches.

Solid form: Salaspils FK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Salaspils FK VS Grobina
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salaspils FK

(Home)
20 Jun
Salaspils FK
1 : 3
Speks
30 May
Saldus NSS
0 : 4
Salaspils FK
21 Jun
Salaspils FK
4 : 5
Leevon PPK
01 Jun
RSU
0 : 6
Salaspils FK
18 May
Kuldigas/Goldingen
2 : 3
Salaspils FK
Page 1 of 6

Grobina

(Away)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jelgava 26 24 1 1 76:13 73
2 Riga FC 2 26 19 3 4 84:27 60
3 Grobina 26 17 2 7 85:39 53
4 Valmiera 2 26 17 1 8 90:37 52
5 RFS 2 26 14 4 8 75:43 46
6 Alberts JDFS 26 13 6 7 38:25 45
7 Skanste 26 10 7 9 34:41 37
8 AFA Olaine 26 7 4 15 38:72 25
9 Salaspils FK 26 7 4 15 40:75 25
10 Saldus SS/Leevon 26 6 5 15 34:49 23
11 Tukums 2000 2 26 6 4 16 33:66 22
12 Dinamo Riga 26 6 4 16 17:57 22
13 Rezekne 26 6 3 17 33:70 21
14 FK Smiltene 26 4 4 18 24:87 16
Promotion - Optibet Virsliga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Optibet Virsliga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Relegation)