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Salaspils FK vs Valka

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 9-0, with Salaspils FK advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Salaspils FK
15%
Draws
0%
Valka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salaspils FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Valka haven't matched Salaspils FK's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Salaspils FK a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Salaspils FK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Salaspils FK, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Salaspils FK Clean Sheet 10%
Valka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salaspils FK Valka
Matches Played 32 17
Wins 12 5
Draws 3 0
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 2.47 1.41
Goals Conceded 3.19 4.53
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2018 Latvian Cup
Salaspils FK vs Valka
9:0
Sep 19, 2010 Latvian Cup
Valka vs Salaspils FK
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salaspils FK 83 / 100
Valka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salaspils FK Valka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salaspils FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valka has conceded goals in 82% of their last 17 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Valka registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Salaspils FK found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Salaspils FK VS Valka
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
3.75 Goals Conceded 6.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Salaspils FK

(Home)
20 Jun
Salaspils FK
1 : 3
Speks
30 May
Saldus NSS
0 : 4
Salaspils FK
21 Jun
Salaspils FK
4 : 5
Leevon PPK
01 Jun
RSU
0 : 6
Salaspils FK
18 May
Kuldigas/Goldingen
2 : 3
Salaspils FK
Page 1 of 7

Valka

(Away)
30 May
Valka
1 : 5
Aliance
17 May
Valka
1 : 9
Aliance
17 May
Lielupe
5 : 1
Valka
28 May
Valka
0 : 7
Marupe
21 May
Valka
0 : 2
Gulbenes
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Grobina -
TBD -
SK Cesis 1
Albatroz 4
FK Alberts -
TBD -
TBD -
DSVK Traktors -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
Lielupe 2
Nikers 5
Monarhs -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga United -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Salacgriva -
Aliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghetto / Gvatar -
Super Nova -
TBD -
AFA Olaine 1
SK Babite 5
Balvu SC -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas -
Salaspils FK 9
Valka 0
KF Grobina 0
BetLanes 14
RTU -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Kauguri-PBLC 4
Bauskas / Memele 0
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bebri -
TBD -
Lubana 2
Upesciems 5
FK Karosta 9
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
FK Limbazi -
TBD -
Fk Jurnieks Riga 0
Priekuli 3
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/32-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Grobina 7
Albatroz 1
FK Alberts 1
DSVK Traktors 2
Alberts JDFS 3
Nikers 1
Monarhs 2
BFC Daugavpils 4
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga United 10
FK Salacgriva 0
Aliance 0
Ghetto / Gvatar 5
Super Nova 2
SK Babite 1
Balvu SC 1
FK Smiltene 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 9
Plavinas 1
Salaspils FK 0
BetLanes 7
RTU 2
Rezekne 0
Kauguri-PBLC 3
Tukums 2000 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bebri 3
Upesciems 0
FK Karosta 1
Preilu BJSS 3
FK Limbazi 6
Priekuli 3
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/16-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Grobina 7
DSVK Traktors 0
Alberts JDFS 0
BFC Daugavpils 5
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Riga United 1
Ghetto / Gvatar 9
Super Nova 2
FK Smiltene 0
TBD -
Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 0
BetLanes 2
RTU 5
Tukums 2000 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
Bebri 0
Preilu BJSS 5
FK Limbazi 1
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 0
TBD -
RFS -
1/8-finals
FK Metta 2
Jelgava 1
Grobina 2
BFC Daugavpils 6
Spartaks Jurmala 8
Ghetto / Gvatar 1
Super Nova 0
Riga FC 2
Ventspils 2
BetLanes 1
RTU 0
FK Liepaja 5
Valmiera 3
Preilu BJSS 0
FK Limbazi 0
RFS 15
Quarter-finals
FK Metta 4
BFC Daugavpils 3
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Riga FC 3
Ventspils 1
FK Liepaja 0
Valmiera 0
RFS 3
Semi-finals
FK Metta 1
Riga FC 2
Ventspils 2
RFS 1
Final
Riga FC 1
Ventspils 0