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Stadium Background

Salcedo vs Moca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Dominican Republic Dominican Republic

LDF Estadio Domingo Polonia, Salcedo
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Jimenez A.

AI Match Summary

Salcedo in this LDF matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salcedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Salcedo
20%
Draws
28%
Moca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salcedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Salcedo lately — more wins on the board than Moca.
  • Win probability leans Salcedo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular LDF form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Salcedo Clean Sheet 68%
Moca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salcedo Moca
Matches Played 39 35
Wins 21 11
Draws 12 11
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.51 1
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 LDF
Salcedo vs Moca
1:0
Aug 26, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Salcedo
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 LDF
Salcedo vs Moca
1:0
Feb 15, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Salcedo
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 LDF
Salcedo vs Moca
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salcedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Moca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salcedo 77 / 100
Moca 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salcedo Moca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salcedo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Salcedo scored in 82% of their last 39 outings.

Salcedo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Moca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Salcedo VS Moca
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Salcedo

(Home)
04 Oct
Salcedo
1 : 0
Moca
30 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 0
Delfines Del Este
27 Sept
Universidad O&M
1 : 2
Salcedo
23 Sept
Salcedo
0 : 0
Cibao
19 Sept
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0 : 2
Salcedo
Page 1 of 8

Moca

(Away)
04 Oct
Salcedo
1 : 0
Moca
26 Sept
Vega Real
1 : 0
Moca
23 Sept
Moca
1 : 1
Delfines Del Este
19 Sept
Atlantico FC
2 : 3
Moca
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salcedo 9 7 2 0 18:4 23
2 Cibao 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
3 Vega Real 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
4 Delfines Del Este 9 4 2 3 8:6 14
5 Moca 9 3 4 2 7:6 11
6 Universidad O&M 9 3 2 4 12:10 9
7 Don Bosco Jarabacoa 9 1 1 7 5:18 1
8 Atlantico FC 9 0 2 7 8:28 0
Promotion - LDF (Winners stage)