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Salcedo vs Moca

Dominican Republic Dominican Republic

LDF 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Gomez M.
19'
Gomez M.
28' Event
Jamesley D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The LDF 2025/2026 game between Salcedo and Moca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salcedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Salcedo
35%
Draws
28%
Moca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Salcedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Moca haven't matched Salcedo's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Salcedo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Salcedo Clean Sheet 68%
Moca Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salcedo Moca
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 17 9
Draws 12 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.49 0.91
Goals Conceded 1 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.82 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Salcedo
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 LDF
Salcedo vs Moca
1:0
Feb 15, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Salcedo
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 LDF
Salcedo vs Moca
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 LDF
Salcedo vs Moca
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salcedo 86 / 100
Moca 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salcedo Moca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salcedo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Salcedo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Salcedo scored in 78% of their last 37 outings.

Moca let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Salcedo VS Moca
1.5 Goals Scored 0.29
1 Goals Conceded 0.14
75% Over 1.5 14%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Salcedo

(Home)
10 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Cibao
06 Sept
Atlantico FC
1 : 6
Salcedo
03 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
30 Aug
Salcedo
3 : 1
Vega Real
26 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Salcedo
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Moca

(Away)
06 Sept
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0 : 1
Moca
30 Aug
Universidad O&M
0 : 0
Moca
26 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Salcedo
21 Aug
Moca
0 : 0
Vega Real
24 Apr
Universidad O&M
1 : 1
Moca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cibao 15 8 6 1 22:11 30
2 Delfines Del Este 15 7 5 3 19:12 26
3 Salcedo 15 6 5 4 20:17 23
4 Atletico Pantoja 15 4 7 4 22:18 19
5 Moca 15 3 5 7 12:19 14
6 Universidad O&M 15 1 4 10 16:34 7
Promotion - LDF 2025/2026 (Play Offs)