Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saldus SS/Leevon vs FK Smiltene

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Grosbergs K.
64' Event
Muiznieks R.
66' Event
Baumanis R.

AI Match Summary

Saldus SS/Leevon in this 1. Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saldus SS/Leevon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Saldus SS/Leevon
6%
Draws
4%
FK Smiltene
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saldus SS/Leevon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Saldus SS/Leevon have won more games recently than FK Smiltene.
  • Win probability leans Saldus SS/Leevon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Saldus SS/Leevon here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Saldus SS/Leevon Clean Sheet 19%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saldus SS/Leevon FK Smiltene
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 26
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2023 Nakotnes liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs FK Smiltene
4:1
May 7, 2023 Nakotnes liga
FK Smiltene vs Saldus SS/Leevon
0:4
Oct 22, 2022 Nakotnes liga
FK Smiltene vs Saldus SS/Leevon
0:2
Jul 2, 2022 Nakotnes liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs FK Smiltene
4:0
Sep 18, 2021 Nakotnes liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs FK Smiltene
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saldus SS/Leevon Compare

Top Goalscorer Muiznieks R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baumanis R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FK Smiltene Compare

Top Goalscorer Grosbergs K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saldus SS/Leevon 85 / 100
FK Smiltene 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saldus SS/Leevon FK Smiltene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Smiltene has conceded goals in 88% of their last 42 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Saldus SS/Leevon scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Saldus SS/Leevon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Smiltene
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Saldus SS/Leevon

(Home)
12 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 1
Saldus SS/Leevon
04 Nov
Grobina
1 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
29 Oct
Riga FC 2
2 : 2
Saldus SS/Leevon
22 Oct
Saldus SS/Leevon
3 : 0
Rezekne
08 Oct
Beitar
2 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
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FK Smiltene

(Away)
19 Jul
FK Smiltene
1 : 0
Rezekne
04 Jul
Marupe
2 : 1
FK Smiltene
28 Jun
FK Smiltene
2 : 4
Skanste
22 Jun
FK Smiltene
1 : 4
Valmiera
14 Jun
Riga FC 2
2 : 0
FK Smiltene
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grobina26213271:1766
2Riga FC 226204285:1564
3Skanste26192558:2159
4Alberts JDFS26138560:3647
5Saldus SS/Leevon261241040:2840
6RFS 2261141158:4237
7Beitar261121341:6635
8Tukums 2000 2261031341:5433
9JFK Ventspils26861224:2930
10Valmiera 226771230:4028
11AFA Olaine26581336:6123
12FK Smiltene26641631:6722
13Dinamo Riga26531827:6618
14Rezekne26341918:7813
Promotion - Virsliga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Relegation)