Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Oliynyk M.
27'
27'
Kurtiss M.
47'
47'
Krautmanis J.
AI Match Summary
Grobina in this 1. Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grobina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saldus SS/Leevon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Saldus SS/Leevon lately — more wins on the board than Grobina.
- Saldus SS/Leevon are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Grobina have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Saldus SS/Leevon Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saldus SS/Leevon | Grobina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 4, 2023 1. Liga
Grobina vs Saldus SS/Leevon
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 1. Liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs Grobina
1:2
Sep 17, 2022 1. Liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs Grobina
0:4
May 15, 2022 1. Liga
Grobina vs Saldus SS/Leevon
4:1
Nov 13, 2021 1. Liga
Grobina vs Saldus SS/Leevon
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saldus SS/Leevon Compare
Top Goalscorer Oliynyk M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Grobina Compare
Top Goalscorer Kurtiss M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Krautmanis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saldus SS/Leevon 58 / 100
Grobina 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saldus SS/Leevon Grobina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saldus SS/Leevon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Saldus SS/Leevon scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Grobina has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Saldus SS/Leevon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Grobina
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Saldus SS/Leevon
(Home) 12 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 1 Saldus SS/Leevon
04 Nov
Grobina
1 : 0 Saldus SS/Leevon
29 Oct
Riga FC 2
2 : 2 Saldus SS/Leevon
22 Oct
Saldus SS/Leevon
3 : 0 Rezekne
08 Oct
Beitar
2 : 0 Saldus SS/Leevon
Page 1 of 6
22 Oct
Saldus SS/Leevon
3 : 0 Rezekne
01 Oct
Saldus SS/Leevon
0 : 0 Dinamo Riga
24 Sept
Saldus SS/Leevon
2 : 1 Tukums 2000 2
16 Sept
Saldus SS/Leevon
0 : 1 JFK Ventspils
03 Sept
Saldus SS/Leevon
4 : 1 FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 3
Grobina
(Away) 20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1 Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0 Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1 Grobina
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1 Grobina
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Grobina
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1 Grobina
17 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2 Grobina
10 Aug
RFS
6 : 1 Grobina
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grobina | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 71:17 | 66 |
| 2 | Riga FC 2 | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 85:15 | 64 |
| 3 | Skanste | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 58:21 | 59 |
| 4 | Alberts JDFS | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 60:36 | 47 |
| 5 | Saldus SS/Leevon | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 40:28 | 40 |
| 6 | RFS 2 | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 58:42 | 37 |
| 7 | Beitar | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 41:66 | 35 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 2 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 41:54 | 33 |
| 9 | JFK Ventspils | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 24:29 | 30 |
| 10 | Valmiera 2 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 30:40 | 28 |
| 11 | AFA Olaine | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 36:61 | 23 |
| 12 | FK Smiltene | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 31:67 | 22 |
| 13 | Dinamo Riga | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 27:66 | 18 |
| 14 | Rezekne | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18:78 | 13 |
Promotion - Virsliga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Relegation)
