Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saldus SS/Leevon vs Valmiera 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Sadovnikovs R.
45' Event
Kragliks R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Saldus SS/Leevon
30%
Draws
29%
Valmiera 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saldus SS/Leevon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Valmiera 2 haven't matched Saldus SS/Leevon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Saldus SS/Leevon a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Saldus SS/Leevon Clean Sheet 20%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saldus SS/Leevon Valmiera 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2023 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Saldus SS/Leevon
0:1
Jul 29, 2023 1. Liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs Valmiera 2
1:1
Aug 20, 2022 1. Liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs Valmiera 2
3:4
Apr 16, 2022 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Saldus SS/Leevon
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saldus SS/Leevon Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadovnikovs R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Valmiera 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kragliks R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saldus SS/Leevon 42 / 100
Valmiera 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saldus SS/Leevon Valmiera 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: Saldus SS/Leevon scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Valmiera 2 conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Saldus SS/Leevon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valmiera 2
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saldus SS/Leevon

(Home)
12 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 1
Saldus SS/Leevon
04 Nov
Grobina
1 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
29 Oct
Riga FC 2
2 : 2
Saldus SS/Leevon
22 Oct
Saldus SS/Leevon
3 : 0
Rezekne
08 Oct
Beitar
2 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
Page 1 of 6

Valmiera 2

(Away)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grobina 26 21 3 2 71:17 66
2 Riga FC 2 26 20 4 2 85:15 64
3 Skanste 26 19 2 5 58:21 59
4 Alberts JDFS 26 13 8 5 60:36 47
5 Saldus SS/Leevon 26 12 4 10 40:28 40
6 RFS 2 26 11 4 11 58:42 37
7 Beitar 26 11 2 13 41:66 35
8 Tukums 2000 2 26 10 3 13 41:54 33
9 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 24:29 30
10 Valmiera 2 26 7 7 12 30:40 28
11 AFA Olaine 26 5 8 13 36:61 23
12 FK Smiltene 26 6 4 16 31:67 22
13 Dinamo Riga 26 5 3 18 27:66 18
14 Rezekne 26 3 4 19 18:78 13
Promotion - Virsliga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Relegation)