Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sale vs USM Oujda

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kouay A.
51' Event
54' Event
Chaouch Z.

AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 2023/2024 game between Sale and USM Oujda finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USM Oujda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sale
15%
Draws
46%
USM Oujda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USM Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USM Oujda come out ahead of Sale on wins alone.
  • Model gives USM Oujda a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Botola 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Sale Clean Sheet 19%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sale USM Oujda
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.87 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Botola 2
Sale vs USM Oujda
1:2
Nov 5, 2023 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Sale
3:0
Mar 19, 2023 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Sale
2:1
Oct 7, 2022 Botola 2
Sale vs USM Oujda
4:0
Feb 26, 2022 Botola 2
Sale vs USM Oujda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

USM Oujda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouay A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chaouch Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sale 16 / 100
USM Oujda 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sale USM Oujda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Oujda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USM Oujda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sale found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Sale has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS USM Oujda
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sale

(Home)
15 Jun
Wydad Fes
1 : 0
Sale
08 Jun
Sale
2 : 1
Raja Beni Mellal
31 May
Olympique Khouribga
2 : 0
Sale
26 May
Difaa El Jadidi
5 : 0
Sale
20 May
Sale
2 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
Page 1 of 6

USM Oujda

(Away)
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0
USM Oujda
13 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 0
US Boujaad
06 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 1
USM Oujda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 COD Meknes 30 17 7 6 38:26 58
2 Difaa El Jadidi 30 13 13 4 33:20 52
3 USM Oujda 30 15 7 8 36:21 52
4 Kawkab Marrakech 30 14 9 7 38:25 51
5 Stade Marocain 30 13 10 7 41:37 49
6 Raja Beni Mellal 30 11 11 8 50:33 44
7 Dcheira 30 10 12 8 30:30 42
8 Olympique Khouribga 30 11 6 13 30:31 39
9 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 30 7 15 8 25:27 36
10 Chabab Benguerir 30 7 14 9 24:26 35
11 Rapide Oued Zem 30 8 11 11 23:27 35
12 RAC Casablanca 30 8 10 12 31:33 34
13 Jeunesse Massira 30 8 9 13 36:45 33
14 Wydad Fes 30 7 8 15 26:39 29
15 Ittifaq Marrakech 30 5 12 13 15:32 27
16 Sale 30 6 6 18 26:50 24
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