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Salem City vs Tobacco Road

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tobacco Road in this USL Premier Development League 2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tobacco Road.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Salem City
20%
Draws
29%
Tobacco Road
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salem City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Salem City have won more games recently than Tobacco Road.
  • Model gives Salem City a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Salem City Clean Sheet 10%
Tobacco Road Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salem City Tobacco Road
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.81 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 USL League Two
Salem City vs Tobacco Road
1:3
May 26, 2026 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs Salem City
1:3
Jul 8, 2025 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs Salem City
1:3
May 28, 2025 USL League Two
Salem City vs Tobacco Road
3:3
Jun 29, 2024 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs Salem City
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salem City 74 / 100
Tobacco Road 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salem City Tobacco Road

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salem City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Salem City scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Tobacco Road let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Salem City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salem City VS Tobacco Road
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Salem City

(Home)
11 Jul
Salem City
1 : 0
Wake FC
08 Jul
Salem City
1 : 3
Tobacco Road
01 Jul
Port City
1 : 2
Salem City
27 Jun
South Carolina United Bantams
3 : 3
Salem City
23 Jun
Salem City
1 : 2
Asheville City
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Tobacco Road

(Away)
11 Jul
Tobacco Road
2 : 3
Port City
08 Jul
Salem City
1 : 3
Tobacco Road
01 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
0 : 0
Tobacco Road
27 Jun
Tobacco Road
2 : 3
Wake FC
24 Jun
Hickory FC
4 : 0
Tobacco Road
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