Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Salernitana vs Catania

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Arechi, Salerno
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Arena M.
46'
Sub
Achik I. In: Quirini E.
Out: Achik I.
46'
Sub
Longobardi G. In: Anastasio A.
Out: Longobardi G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Salernitana
11%
Draws
9%
Catania
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Salernitana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Catania haven't matched Salernitana's recent run of results.
  • Salernitana are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Salernitana Clean Sheet 68%
Catania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salernitana Catania
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Salernitana vs Catania
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Salernitana
2:0
May 21, 2005 Serie B
Salernitana vs Catania
1:0
Dec 17, 2004 Serie B
Catania vs Salernitana
2:1
Aug 22, 2004 Coppa Italia
Salernitana vs Catania
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salernitana 86 / 100
Catania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salernitana Catania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salernitana found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Salernitana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Catania has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Salernitana VS Catania
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salernitana

(Home)
27 May
Union Brescia
2 : 0
Salernitana
24 May
Salernitana
1 : 1
Union Brescia
20 May
Ravenna
0 : 2
Salernitana
17 May
Salernitana
2 : 0
Ravenna
13 May
Salernitana
1 : 1
Casertana
Page 1 of 7

Catania

(Away)
27 May
Catania
2 : 1
Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0
Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1
Catania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)