Sport Picks
Salernitana vs Union Brescia
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Arechi, Salerno 
Match Events
5'
5'
Crespi V.
18'
18'
Armati L.
36'
36'
Mercati A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salernitana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Salernitana come out ahead of Union Brescia on wins alone.
- Salernitana are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Salernitana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Salernitana Clean Sheet 68%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Salernitana | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 27, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Salernitana
2:0
May 24, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Salernitana vs Union Brescia
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Salernitana Compare
Top Goalscorer de Boer K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Union Brescia Compare
Top Goalscorer Crespi V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Salernitana 86 / 100
Union Brescia 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Salernitana Union Brescia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Salernitana scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Salernitana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Union Brescia let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Salernitana VS Union Brescia
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Salernitana
(Home) 08 Aug
Salernitana
2 : 1 Sambiase
27 May
Union Brescia
2 : 0 Salernitana
24 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Union Brescia
20 May
Ravenna
0 : 2 Salernitana
17 May
Salernitana
2 : 0 Ravenna
Page 1 of 7
08 Aug
Salernitana
2 : 1 Sambiase
24 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Union Brescia
17 May
Salernitana
2 : 0 Ravenna
13 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Casertana
19 Apr
Salernitana
2 : 1 Picerno
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Union Brescia
(Away) 09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0 Union Brescia
01 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 1 Union Brescia
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0 Union Brescia
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
27 May
Union Brescia
2 : 0 Salernitana
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0 Union Brescia
01 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 1 Union Brescia
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0 Union Brescia
24 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Union Brescia
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3 Union Brescia
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
