Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Salford vs Leyton Orient

England England

FA Cup 2025/2026 Peninsula Stadium, Salford
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Cahill K.
Own Goal
53'
Clare S.
59'
Sub
Craig M. In: Bakinson T.
Out: Craig M.

AI Match Summary

Salford in this FA Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Salford
15%
Draws
53%
Leyton Orient
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leyton Orient

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Leyton Orient average 1.79 goals a game right now, well clear of Salford's 1.34.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Leyton Orient taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Leyton Orient, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Salford Clean Sheet 12%
Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salford Leyton Orient
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2025 FA Cup
Salford vs Leyton Orient
4:0
Apr 7, 2023 League Two
Salford vs Leyton Orient
0:2
Oct 29, 2022 League Two
Leyton Orient vs Salford
1:0
Feb 12, 2022 League Two
Leyton Orient vs Salford
0:2
Aug 7, 2021 League Two
Salford vs Leyton Orient
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salford Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesay K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borini F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Leyton Orient Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salford 22 / 100
Leyton Orient 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salford Leyton Orient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leyton Orient Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Salford scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Leyton Orient's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Salford has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Salford VS Leyton Orient
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salford

(Home)
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Port Vale
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1
Newport
29 Aug
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Salford
22 Aug
Salford
0 : 1
Chesterfield
15 Aug
Barnet
3 : 1
Salford
Page 1 of 6

Leyton Orient

(Away)
05 Sept
Luton
1 : 1
Leyton Orient
01 Sept
Bromley
0 : 5
Leyton Orient
29 Aug
Leyton Orient
1 : 3
Barnsley
25 Aug
Walsall
0 : 1
Leyton Orient
22 Aug
Wigan
0 : 2
Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
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Nottingham -
Ipswich -
TBD -
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TBD -
Blackpool 1
Scunthorpe 0
Reading 2
Carlisle 3
Hull City -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Port Vale 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Bromley 1
Bristol Rovers 2
Fleetwood Town 2
Barnet 1
Luton 4
Forest Green 3
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Colchester 2
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 3
Northampton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Crawley Town 0
Newport 3
Gillingham 2
Brackley 3
Notts County 2
Burton 6
St. Albans 0
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Slough Town 2
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 6
AFC Totton 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Tranmere 1
Stockport County 3
Cambridge Utd 3
Chester 0
TBD -
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Birmingham -
Derby -
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Leeds -
Norwich -
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TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 0
Gateshead 2
Eastleigh 0
Walsall 3
Swansea -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
West Brom -
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax 0
Exeter 2
Wycombe 2
Plymouth 0
Salford 2
Lincoln City 1
Tamworth 0
Leyton Orient 1
Rotherham 1
Swindon 2
Bolton 2
Huddersfield 1
Grimsby 3
Ebbsfleet 1
Wealdstone 1
Southend 0
Chelmsford 4
Braintree 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Aldershot 1
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton 2
Telford 1
South Shields 1
Shrewsbury 3
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough 1
Cardiff 0
Barnsley 3
York City 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Stoke City -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Coventry -
Fulham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Middlesbrough -
Stevenage 0
Chesterfield 1
Crewe 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southampton -
Cheltenham 1
Bradford City 0
Buxton 2
Chatham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leicester -
Burnley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough 1
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Harrogate 2
Portsmouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wigan 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Spennymoor 0
Barrow 2
1/64-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Ipswich -
TBD -
Blackpool 4
Carlisle 1
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Port Vale 1
Bristol Rovers 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Luton 2
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 1
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Newport 0
Brackley 1
Burton 3
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Slough Town 1
Macclesfield 3
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Stockport County 0
Cambridge Utd 1
TBD -
Birmingham -
Derby -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Norwich -
TBD -
Gateshead 0
Walsall 2
Swansea -
TBD -
TBD -
West Brom -
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Exeter 4
Wycombe 0
Salford 4
Leyton Orient 0
Swindon 4
Bolton 0
Grimsby 4
Wealdstone 0
Chelmsford 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves -
TBD -
Sutton 1
Shrewsbury 2
Liverpool -
TBD -
Peterborough 0
Barnsley 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Stoke City -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry -
Fulham -
TBD -
TBD -
Middlesbrough -
Chesterfield 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
Southampton -
Cheltenham 6
Buxton 2
TBD -
Leicester -
Burnley -
TBD -
TBD -
Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Portsmouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
Wigan 3
Barrow 2
1/32-finals
Wrexham 4
Nottingham 3
Ipswich 2
Blackpool 1
Hull City 1
Blackburn 0
Charlton 1
Chelsea 5
Port Vale 1
Fleetwood Town 0
Bristol City 5
Watford 1
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Oxford Utd 2
Everton 1
Sunderland 2
Boreham Wood 0
Burton 5
West Ham 2
QPR 1
Macclesfield 2
Crystal Palace 1
Sheffield Wed 0
Brentford 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Birmingham 3
Derby 1
Leeds 3
Norwich 5
Walsall 1
Swansea 2
West Brom 3
Tottenham 1
Aston Villa 2
Newcastle Utd 4
Bournemouth 3
Manchester City 10
Exeter 1
Salford 3
Swindon 2
Grimsby 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves 6
Shrewsbury 1
Liverpool 4
Barnsley 1
Manchester United 1
Brighton 2
Stoke City 1
Coventry 0
Fulham 3
Middlesbrough 1
Doncaster 2
Southampton 3
Cheltenham 0
Leicester 2
Burnley 5
Millwall 1
Sheffield Utd 3
Mansfield 4
Portsmouth 1
Arsenal 4
Preston 0
Wigan 1
1/16-finals
Wrexham 1
Ipswich 0
Hull City 0
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Bristol City 0
Oxford Utd 0
Sunderland 1
Burton 0
West Ham 1
Macclesfield 0
Brentford 1
Birmingham 1
Leeds 2
Norwich 3
West Brom 1
Aston Villa 1
Newcastle Utd 3
Manchester City 2
Salford 0
Grimsby 0
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Brighton 0
Stoke City 1
Fulham 2
Southampton 2
Leicester 1
Burnley 1
Mansfield 2
Arsenal 4
Wigan 0
1/8-finals
Wrexham 2
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Sunderland 0
West Ham 3
Brentford 2
Leeds 3
Norwich 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Fulham 0
Southampton 1
Mansfield 1
Arsenal 2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea 7
Port Vale 0
West Ham 2
Leeds 3
Manchester City 4
Liverpool 0
Southampton 2
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
Chelsea 1
Leeds 0
Manchester City 2
Southampton 1
Final
Chelsea 0
Manchester City 1