Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Salford vs Shrewsbury

England England

EFL Cup Peninsula Stadium, Salford
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Butcher M.
47' Event
Davison J.
60'
Stubbs S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Salford
20%
Draws
40%
Shrewsbury
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Salford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Salford's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Salford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Shrewsbury, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Salford Clean Sheet 15%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salford Shrewsbury
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Salford vs Shrewsbury
1:2
Feb 24, 2026 League Two
Salford vs Shrewsbury
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Salford
1:3
Nov 2, 2024 FA Cup
Salford vs Shrewsbury
2:1
Nov 21, 2018 FA Cup
Salford vs Shrewsbury
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salford Compare

Top Goalscorer Malcolm K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Shrewsbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Davison J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salford 66 / 100
Shrewsbury 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salford Shrewsbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Salford found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Shrewsbury conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Salford went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salford VS Shrewsbury
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Salford

(Home)
15 Aug
Barnet
3 : 1
Salford
08 Aug
Salford
1 : 2
Shrewsbury
01 Aug
Salford
2 : 2
Bradford City
28 Jul
Carlisle
0 : 2
Salford
25 Jul
Salford
3 : 2
Dundee Utd
Page 1 of 6

Shrewsbury

(Away)
15 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 0
Shrewsbury
08 Aug
Salford
1 : 2
Shrewsbury
01 Aug
Shrewsbury
3 : 2
Aston Villa U21
28 Jul
Hereford
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
25 Jul
Shrewsbury
1 : 4
West Brom
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
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1/32-finals
Walsall -
Leyton Orient -
Ipswich -
Leicester -
Cardiff -
Norwich -
Stevenage -
Reading -
Cambridge Utd -
Millwall -
Birmingham -
Brentford -
Southampton -
West Ham -
Watford -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
AFC Wimbledon -
Plymouth -
Coventry -
Chelsea -
Luton -
Tottenham -
Charlton -
Newcastle Utd -
West Brom -
Blackburn -
Sheffield Utd -
Nottingham -
Leeds -
Doncaster -
Middlesbrough -
Barnsley -
Crewe -
Preston -
Everton -
Stoke City -
Hull City -
Sheffield Wed -
Wolves -
Blackpool -
Lincoln City -
Fleetwood Town -
Shrewsbury -
Bradford City -
Burnley -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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