This match ends 3-1, with Salford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
Salford
20%
Draws
33%
Stockport County
Draw rate projection: 20%Favored: Salford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
Stockport County carry the better recent record into this one.
Salford are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Stockport County arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Stockport County, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals70%
Over 4.5 Goals32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)72.6%
Salford Clean Sheet16%
Stockport County Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Salford
Stockport County
Matches Played
28
28
Wins
15
16
Draws
5
4
Losses
8
8
Goals Scored
1.46
2
Goals Conceded
1.07
1.21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.10
1.40
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2025EFL Trophy
SalfordvsStockport County
3:1
Jul 25, 2025Club Friendly
SalfordvsStockport County
1:1
Mar 14, 2024League Two
SalfordvsStockport County
2:2
Nov 28, 2023League Two
Stockport CountyvsSalford
0:0
Oct 10, 2023EFL Trophy
SalfordvsStockport County
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Salford Compare
Top GoalscorerAusterfield J.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderCesay K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.01
Avg xA / game0.66
Stockport County Compare
Top GoalscorerBailey O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game1.31
Avg xA / game0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Salford41 / 100
Stockport County36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Salford Stockport County
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickDraw (X)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Salford scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Stockport County conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Salford remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.