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Salgaocar SC vs Mohun Bagan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Federation Cup 2016 Tilak Maidan Stadium, Vasco da Gama, Goa
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Lalpekhlua J.
26' Event
Scott M.
31' Event
Mbarga C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Mohun Bagan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Salgaocar SC
15%
Draws
65%
Mohun Bagan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mohun Bagan come out ahead of Salgaocar SC on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Mohun Bagan taking it.
  • Mohun Bagan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mohun Bagan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mohun Bagan here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Salgaocar SC Clean Sheet 20%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salgaocar SC Mohun Bagan
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 22
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 2
Goals Scored 1.27 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2016 Federation Cup
Mohun Bagan vs Salgaocar SC
4:0
May 2, 2016 Federation Cup
Salgaocar SC vs Mohun Bagan
2:3
Feb 27, 2016 I-League
Salgaocar SC vs Mohun Bagan
1:3
Jan 16, 2016 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Salgaocar SC
4:2
Apr 3, 2015 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Salgaocar SC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salgaocar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mbarga C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lalpekhlua J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Das A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salgaocar SC 10 / 100
Mohun Bagan 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salgaocar SC Mohun Bagan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Salgaocar SC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Mohun Bagan has conceded goals in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Salgaocar SC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mohun Bagan
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Salgaocar SC

(Home)
05 May
Mohun Bagan
4 : 0
Salgaocar SC
02 May
Salgaocar SC
2 : 3
Mohun Bagan
23 Apr
Salgaocar SC
0 : 3
SC Goa
17 Apr
Bengaluru FC
2 : 0
Salgaocar SC
11 Apr
Aizawl FC
0 : 1
Salgaocar SC
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Mohun Bagan

(Away)
08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
East Bengal
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Aizawl FC 5
Bengaluru FC 3
Mumbai 0
SC Goa 2
Lajong 4
East Bengal 3
Salgaocar SC 2
Mohun Bagan 7
Semi-finals
Aizawl FC 2
SC Goa 2
Lajong 0
Mohun Bagan 5
Final
Aizawl FC 0
Mohun Bagan 5