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Salgaocar SC vs Mumbai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

I-League 2015/2016 Tilak Maidan Stadium, Vasco da Gama, Goa
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Match Events

23' Event
Singh J.
27'
Sub
Miranda C. In: Dias A.
Out: Miranda C.
28'
Almeida K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I-League 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Salgaocar SC
30%
Draws
35%
Mumbai
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Salgaocar SC lately — more wins on the board than Mumbai.
  • Model gives Salgaocar SC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Salgaocar SC Clean Sheet 10%
Mumbai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salgaocar SC Mumbai
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 11
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.27 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2016 I-League
Salgaocar SC vs Mumbai
2:2
Jan 24, 2016 I-League
Mumbai vs Salgaocar SC
2:1
Mar 28, 2015 I-League
Salgaocar SC vs Mumbai
3:1
Feb 13, 2015 I-League
Mumbai vs Salgaocar SC
3:0
Mar 9, 2014 I-League
Salgaocar SC vs Mumbai
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salgaocar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mascarenhas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Mumbai Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salgaocar SC 40 / 100
Mumbai 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salgaocar SC Mumbai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Salgaocar SC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Mumbai let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Salgaocar SC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salgaocar SC VS Mumbai
0 Goals Scored 0.63
4 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Salgaocar SC

(Home)
05 May
Mohun Bagan
4 : 0
Salgaocar SC
02 May
Salgaocar SC
2 : 3
Mohun Bagan
23 Apr
Salgaocar SC
0 : 3
SC Goa
17 Apr
Bengaluru FC
2 : 0
Salgaocar SC
11 Apr
Aizawl FC
0 : 1
Salgaocar SC
Page 1 of 6

Mumbai

(Away)
29 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 4
East Bengal
23 Apr
Mumbai
1 : 1
Lajong
16 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Chennai City FC
08 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Churchill Brothers
11 Mar
DSK Shivajians
5 : 0
Mumbai
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bengaluru FC 16 10 2 4 24:17 32
2 Mohun Bagan 16 8 6 2 32:16 30
3 East Bengal 16 7 4 5 22:18 25
4 SC Goa 16 5 7 4 24:20 22
5 Mumbai 16 4 7 5 20:19 19
6 Lajong 16 4 6 6 14:23 18
7 Salgaocar SC 16 4 4 8 19:27 16
8 Aizawl FC 16 4 4 8 15:21 16
9 DSK Shivajians 16 3 6 7 16:25 15
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