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Salgotarjani BTC vs Mateszalkai MTK

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Bodo L.
49' Event
Bokonyi A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Salgotarjani BTC
15%
Draws
59%
Mateszalkai MTK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mateszalkai MTK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Salgotarjani BTC lately — more wins on the board than Mateszalkai MTK.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Salgotarjani BTC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mateszalkai MTK, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Salgotarjani BTC Clean Sheet 15%
Mateszalkai MTK Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salgotarjani BTC Mateszalkai MTK
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.1 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Hungarian Cup
Salgotarjani BTC vs Mateszalkai MTK
0:2
Aug 8, 2026 NB III - Northeast
Salgotarjani BTC vs Mateszalkai MTK
1:2
May 25, 2025 NB III - Northeast
Mateszalkai MTK vs Salgotarjani BTC
2:3
Nov 10, 2024 NB III - Northeast
Salgotarjani BTC vs Mateszalkai MTK
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salgotarjani BTC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mateszalkai MTK Compare

Top Goalscorer Bodo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bokonyi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salgotarjani BTC 31 / 100
Mateszalkai MTK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salgotarjani BTC Mateszalkai MTK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mateszalkai MTK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mateszalkai MTK conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Salgotarjani BTC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Salgotarjani BTC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salgotarjani BTC VS Mateszalkai MTK
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salgotarjani BTC

(Home)
26 Sept
Salgotarjani BTC
0 : 1
Fuzesabony
19 Sept
Tarpa
1 : 2
Salgotarjani BTC
05 Sept
Salgotarjani BTC
0 : 1
DVTK II
29 Aug
Tiszafuredi
2 : 1
Salgotarjani BTC
26 Aug
Salgotarjani BTC
0 : 3
Hajdunanas
Page 1 of 6

Mateszalkai MTK

(Away)
26 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
2 : 1
Ozd-Sajovolgye
19 Sept
Eger
0 : 3
Mateszalkai MTK
12 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
1 : 3
Kozarmisleny SE
05 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
1 : 1
Debreceni EAC
29 Aug
Fuzesabony
3 : 0
Mateszalkai MTK
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ikarus 2
Dunaharaszti MTK 3
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Karcagi -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Bicskei 3
Sarisapi Banyasz 1
Penzugyor SE 1
Harta SE 2
Albidok 0
Debreceni EAC 5
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Kozarmisleny SE -
TBD -
Salgotarjani BTC 0
Mateszalkai MTK 2
Soroksar -
TBD -
Heviz 3
Balatonfuredi 1
Csepel UFC 0
Csepel 3
Epitok 2
Villanyi 3
Szabadkikoto 0
Godollo 2
TBD -
Debrecen -
DVTK -
TBD -
TBD -
Videoton -
Kormendi 1
Mezoors 8
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Pecsi MFC 3
Sarbogard 0
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Balatoni Vasas 0
Nagykozar KSE 1
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Emodi 2
Tarpa 1
Ibrany SE 0
Ozd-Sajovolgye 2
Majosi 7
III. Keruleti TVE 2
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Kaposvar 1
PTE-PEAC 0
Mezocsat 3
Hatvan FC 5
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Bajai 2
Csor FC 0
TBD -
Honved -
Ujdombrad SE 0
Cigand SE 3
Felsopakony 1
FC Dabas 3
Kazincbarcika -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Szentlorinc SE -
TBD -
Gyulai Termal 5
BKV Elore 1
TFSE-Tent Budapest 2
Siofok 0
TBD -
Vasas -
Nagykanizsa FC -
TBD -
Monori 3
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Andrashida TE 2
Sopron 8
Janoshalmi 0
Szegedi 5
Sandorfalvi 1
Szolnoki MAV 3
Ugod 0
Komaromi VSE 4
Karancslapujto 5
Edeleny 0
Nagybatony 0
Tiszaujvaros 1
Intretech Kapuvari SE 1
Tatabanya 2
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Bony 0
Lebeny SE 2
Algyo SK 0
ESMTK Budapest 3
VSC Veszprem 0
Haladas VSE 1
Senyo 0
Tiszafuredi 1
Szeged-Csanad GA -
TBD -
Erdi 0
Ivancsa 3
Mori SE 0
Dorogi FC 7
TBD -
Ujpest -
1/32-finals
Dunaharaszti MTK 1
Zalaegerszegi 5
Karcagi 1
Gyor 5
Bicskei 1
Harta SE 0
Debreceni EAC 0
Ferencvaros 7
Kozarmisleny SE 3
Mateszalkai MTK 1
Soroksar 6
Heviz 1
Csepel 3
Villanyi 1
Godollo 2
Debrecen 3
DVTK 4
Videoton 1
Mezoors 1
Puskas Academy 8
Pecsi MFC 3
Tiszakecske 2
Nagykozar KSE 0
Kisvarda FC 9
Emodi 0
Ozd-Sajovolgye 5
Majosi 1
Nyiregyhaza 8
Kaposvar 4
Hatvan FC 1
Ajka 3
BVSC-Zuglo 2
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Csakvari 0
Bajai 0
Honved 7
Cigand SE 3
FC Dabas 2
Kazincbarcika 1
Paks 2
Szentlorinc SE 1
Gyulai Termal 0
TFSE-Tent Budapest 1
Vasas 3
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Monori 2
Mezokovesd-Zsory 0
MTK Budapest 2
Sopron 6
Szegedi 3
Szolnoki MAV 3
Komaromi VSE 1
Karancslapujto 2
Tiszaujvaros 4
Tatabanya 4
Kecskemeti TE 5
Lebeny SE 1
ESMTK Budapest 7
Haladas VSE 4
Tiszafuredi 0
Szeged-Csanad GA 4
Ivancsa 0
Dorogi FC 0
Ujpest 2
1/16-finals
Zalaegerszegi -
Gyor -
Bicskei -
Ferencvaros -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Soroksar -
Csepel -
Debrecen -
DVTK -
Puskas Academy -
Pecsi MFC -
Kisvarda FC -
Ozd-Sajovolgye -
Nyiregyhaza -
Kaposvar -
Ajka -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Honved -
Cigand SE -
Paks -
Szentlorinc SE -
Vasas -
Monori -
MTK Budapest -
Sopron -
Szolnoki MAV -
Tiszaujvaros -
Kecskemeti TE -
ESMTK Budapest -
Haladas VSE -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Ujpest -
1/8-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -