Sport Picks

Finland

Ykkonen Salon urheilupuisto

Match Events

Jakonen O.

10'

Lulli M.

24'

Sub

Adarkwa J. In: Santalo N.

Out: Adarkwa J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SalPa host KPV Kokkola in the Ykkonen. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. SalPa have averaged 2.75 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against KPV Kokkola's 0.88 scored and 4 conceded. Past meetings favor SalPa slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 6:0. The numbers (3.38 xG vs 1.50) point toward SalPa. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

SalPa

33%

Draws

27%

KPV Kokkola

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: SalPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

KPV Kokkola has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SalPa.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for SalPa.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Ykkonen provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 88%

Over 3.5 Goals 88%

Over 4.5 Goals 40%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

SalPa Clean Sheet 16%

KPV Kokkola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SalPa	KPV Kokkola
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	11
Draws	5	3
Losses	14	16
Goals Scored	2.75	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.13	4
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ykkonen

SalPa vs KPV Kokkola

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

6:0

Sep 27, 2023 Ykkosliiga

SalPa vs KPV Kokkola

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Aug 19, 2023 Ykkosliiga

SalPa vs KPV Kokkola

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Jun 8, 2023 Ykkosliiga

KPV Kokkola vs SalPa

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SalPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Lulli M.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Jakonen O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

KPV Kokkola Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SalPa 39 / 100

KPV Kokkola 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SalPa KPV Kokkola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SalPa scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

KPV Kokkola let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

SalPa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

KPV Kokkola lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SalPa VS KPV Kokkola

2.75 Goals Scored 0.88

2.13 Goals Conceded 4

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 88%

88% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	14	10	1	3	28:9	31
2	RoPS Rovaniemi	14	8	4	2	30:15	28
3	JJK Jyvaskyla	15	7	4	4	39:26	25
4	SalPa	14	6	5	3	29:24	23
5	OLS Oulu	15	6	4	5	29:22	22
6	Keski-Uusimaa	13	6	3	4	26:18	21
7	VJS	13	5	5	3	25:18	20
8	FC Inter Turku 2	14	4	3	7	25:39	15
9	Jazz Pori	14	5	2	7	15:22	14
10	TPV	14	3	4	7	16:24	13
11	KuPS Akatemia	14	2	3	9	24:34	9
12	KPV Kokkola	14	2	2	10	12:47	8