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Stadium Background

SalPa vs TPV

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Salon urheilupuisto, Salo
4 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Voca G.
(Penalty)
25' Event
Poysa S.
29' Event
Rrustemi E.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen game between SalPa and TPV finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SalPa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
SalPa
15%
Draws
28%
TPV
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SalPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SalPa come out ahead of TPV on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on SalPa taking it.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SalPa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
SalPa Clean Sheet 14%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SalPa TPV
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs SalPa
1:1
May 23, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs TPV
4:2
Aug 11, 2021 Kakkonen Group B
SalPa vs TPV
5:0
Aug 7, 2021 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs SalPa
0:2
Jun 17, 2020 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs SalPa
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SalPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Poysa S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rrustemi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Rattari O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SalPa 84 / 100
TPV 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SalPa TPV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SalPa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SalPa scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: TPV conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SalPa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SalPa VS TPV
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SalPa

(Home)
26 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
3 : 1
SalPa
19 Sept
SalPa
6 : 4
Tampere Utd
12 Sept
SalPa
4 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
29 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
1 : 3
SalPa
22 Aug
SalPa
4 : 1
OLS Oulu
Page 1 of 6

TPV

(Away)
26 Sept
TPV
1 : 3
Jazz Pori
20 Sept
FC Inter Turku 2
3 : 0
TPV
13 Sept
TPV
4 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
22 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
0 : 1
TPV
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)