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SalPa vs Turun Pallokerho

Finland Finland

Kakkonen West 2000
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SalPa play Turun Pallokerho in the Kakkonen West 2000. SalPa are favorites here. Recently, SalPa averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Turun Pallokerho averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. In past meetings, SalPa won 4, Turun Pallokerho won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 8, 2002 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for SalPa and 1.00 for Turun Pallokerho. This points to a SalPa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
SalPa
15%
Draws
22%
Turun Pallokerho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SalPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • SalPa picked up more points recently compared to Turun Pallokerho.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
SalPa Clean Sheet 23%
Turun Pallokerho Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SalPa Turun Pallokerho
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 22 7
Draws 6 1
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.84 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2002 Kakkonen West
SalPa vs Turun Pallokerho
3:0
Jun 6, 2002 Kakkonen West
Turun Pallokerho vs SalPa
1:2
Aug 9, 2000 Kakkonen West
SalPa vs Turun Pallokerho
2:0
May 24, 2000 Kakkonen West
Turun Pallokerho vs SalPa
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SalPa 61 / 100
Turun Pallokerho 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SalPa Turun Pallokerho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SalPa Win (1)
Secondary Pick SalPa & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SalPa attacking → ← attacking Turun Pallokerho

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SalPa scored in 78% of their last 45 games.

Turun Pallokerho let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

SalPa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Turun Pallokerho lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 22
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SalPa22192170:1859
2KaaPo22123753:4139
3Turun Pallokerho22106652:3636
4Helsingin221111039:4734
5VG-62 Naantali2288644:3232
6Mariehamn2294945:4531
7Kasko22931053:4930
8PIF Pargas2286831:3730
9Malmin Ponnistajat22841035:4028
10FC Kontu22831144:4327
11VJS22451332:6417
12EuPa22311833:7910