Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Salthill vs St. Michaels

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Molloy T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Salthill advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Salthill
15%
Draws
26%
St. Michaels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salthill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salthill come out ahead of St. Michaels on wins alone.
  • Model gives Salthill a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Salthill have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Salthill, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Salthill Clean Sheet 16%
St. Michaels Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salthill St. Michaels
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 7 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.97 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 FAI Cup
Salthill vs St. Michaels
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salthill Compare

Top Goalscorer Molloy T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

St. Michaels Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salthill 66 / 100
St. Michaels 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salthill St. Michaels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salthill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Michaels has conceded goals in 77% of their last 13 outings.

Salthill went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

St. Michaels's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Salthill scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Salthill VS St. Michaels
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salthill

(Home)
06 Sept
TU Dublin
2 : 2
Salthill
29 Aug
Salthill
4 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
23 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 0
Salthill
15 Aug
Salthill
0 : 4
Galway United
19 Jul
Salthill
1 : 0
St. Michaels
Page 1 of 6

St. Michaels

(Away)
16 May
St. Michaels
1 : 3
Janesboro
19 Jul
Salthill
1 : 0
St. Michaels
18 May
St. Michaels
:
Usher Celtic
22 Jul
St. Michaels
0 : 5
Waterford
10 Aug
St. Michaels
0 : 1
Glengad United
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Drogheda -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Lucan Utd 2
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
North End United 1
Castlebar Celtic 4
TBD -
Longford -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
College Corinthians 1
Bangor Celtic 2
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Midleton 0
Killester Donnycarney 6
TBD -
Bohemians -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Bray -
TBD -
Wayside Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 0
Cork City -
TBD -
Leicester Celtic AFC 2
Fanad United 1
Waterford -
TBD -
St Mochta's 4
Douglas Hall 0
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Ringmahon Rangers 1
University College Cork 3
Fairview Rangers 4
Baldoyle Utd. 0
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Salthill 2
Liffey Wanderers 1
St. Michaels -
Usher Celtic -
Galway United -
TBD -
Tolka 3
Janesboro 1
1/16-finals
Treaty United 1
Derry City 5
Drogheda 5
Crumlin Utd 0
Shamrock Rovers 4
Wexford 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
Longford 6
Kerry 2
Athlone 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Cobh Ramblers 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Bohemians 7
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Finn Harps 3
UC Dublin 0
Bray 3
Wayside Celtic 0
Cork City 3
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
Waterford 5
St Mochta's 1
St. Patricks 8
University College Cork 0
Fairview Rangers 0
Shelbourne 4
Salthill 1
St. Michaels 0
Galway United 2
Tolka 0
1/8-finals
Derry City 1
Drogheda 2
Shamrock Rovers 2
Longford 1
Kerry 2
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Finn Harps 3
Bray 1
Cork City 2
Waterford 1
St. Patricks 2
Shelbourne 0
Salthill 0
Galway United 4
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Kerry 4
Sligo Rovers 3
Finn Harps 0
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 3
Galway United 1
Semi-finals
Shamrock Rovers 6
Kerry 1
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 0
Final
Shamrock Rovers 2
Cork City 0