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Salvatierra vs Baskonia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Salvatierra host Baskonia in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010. This has Baskonia written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Salvatierra at 0.5 goals for, 2.63 against; Baskonia at 1.63 for, 1.88 against. Head-to-head, Salvatierra have won 0 to Baskonia's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2010, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 2.13) point toward Baskonia. Baskonia in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Salvatierra
28%
Draws
50%
Baskonia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Baskonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Baskonia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Salvatierra.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Baskonia.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Salvatierra Clean Sheet 10%
Baskonia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salvatierra Baskonia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 9
Draws 4 12
Losses 25 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Salvatierra vs Baskonia
1:1
Nov 7, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Salvatierra
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salvatierra 22 / 100
Baskonia 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salvatierra Baskonia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salvatierra scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Baskonia let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Salvatierra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Baskonia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salvatierra VS Baskonia
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Sociedad B382112568:2375
2Portugalete381912765:3169
3Amorebieta381911858:3468
4Elgoibar381981140:2965
5Gernika Club381712954:3863
6Beasain381891158:3563
7SCD Durango381514956:4459
8Amurrio Club381415953:4257
9Zamudio381681447:4456
10Baskonia3813131253:5652
11Laudio3812131331:3149
12Santurtzi3811151245:4048
13Zalla UC381381738:4747
14Eibar B3812101646:5746
15Arenas Getxo3811131429:4146
16Leioa381361945:5945
17Lagun Onak3811101733:4243
18UD Aretxabaleta3810111733:5841
19Retuerto Sport385112231:7426
20Salvatierra38272922:8013