Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010

Santurtzi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Salvatierra play Santurtzi in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010. Santurtzi are favorites here. Recently, Salvatierra averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Santurtzi averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Salvatierra won 0, Santurtzi won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 17, 2010 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Salvatierra and 1.18 for Santurtzi. This points to a Santurtzi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%

Salvatierra

25%

Draws

61%

Santurtzi

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Santurtzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Salvatierra picked up more points recently compared to Santurtzi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Salvatierra Clean Sheet 20%

Santurtzi Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Salvatierra	Santurtzi
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	1	9
Draws	4	11
Losses	25	11
Goals Scored	0.67	0.97
Goals Conceded	2.37	1.32

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Salvatierra vs Santurtzi

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Oct 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Santurtzi vs Salvatierra

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salvatierra 17 / 100

Santurtzi 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Salvatierra Santurtzi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santurtzi Win (2)

Secondary Pick Santurtzi & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +133.4%

16.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Salvatierra attacking → ← attacking Santurtzi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salvatierra scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Santurtzi let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Salvatierra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Santurtzi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 38

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Sociedad B	38	21	12	5	68:23	75
2	Portugalete	38	19	12	7	65:31	69
3	Amorebieta	38	19	11	8	58:34	68
4	Elgoibar	38	19	8	11	40:29	65
5	Gernika Club	38	17	12	9	54:38	63
6	Beasain	38	18	9	11	58:35	63
7	SCD Durango	38	15	14	9	56:44	59
8	Amurrio Club	38	14	15	9	53:42	57
9	Zamudio	38	16	8	14	47:44	56
10	Baskonia	38	13	13	12	53:56	52
11	Laudio	38	12	13	13	31:31	49
12	Santurtzi	38	11	15	12	45:40	48
13	Zalla UC	38	13	8	17	38:47	47
14	Eibar B	38	12	10	16	46:57	46
15	Arenas Getxo	38	11	13	14	29:41	46
16	Leioa	38	13	6	19	45:59	45
17	Lagun Onak	38	11	10	17	33:42	43
18	UD Aretxabaleta	38	10	11	17	33:58	41
19	Retuerto Sport	38	5	11	22	31:74	26
20	Salvatierra	38	2	7	29	22:80	13