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Salyan vs Mingachevir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2011/2012
Salyan Logo

Salyan

1 - 0
FT
Mingachevir Logo

Mingachevir

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Salyan in this First Division 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Salyan
30%
Draws
23%
Mingachevir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mingachevir lately — more wins on the board than Salyan.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Salyan taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Salyan Clean Sheet 17%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salyan Mingachevir
Matches Played 30 51
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 14
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.03 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2012 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Salyan
2:4
Nov 13, 2011 I Liqa
Salyan vs Mingachevir
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salyan 84 / 100
Mingachevir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salyan Mingachevir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Salyan's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mingachevir has conceded goals in 75% of their last 51 outings.

Recent resilience: Salyan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mingachevir
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salyan

(Home)
12 May
Salyan
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
28 Apr
Goyazan Qazax
1 : 1
Salyan
21 Apr
Salyan
2 : 1
Taraggi
14 Apr
Shamkir
1 : 0
Salyan
08 Apr
Salyan
2 : 0
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

Mingachevir

(Away)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
Page 1 of 11

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokbatan 52 36 7 9 92:33 115
2 Sahdag Qusar 52 26 14 12 91:55 92
3 Bakili Baku 52 27 9 16 73:52 90
4 MKT Araz Imisli 52 26 6 20 84:77 84
5 Karvan 52 23 12 17 81:62 81
6 ANSAD Neftcala 52 21 13 18 70:64 76
7 Abseron 26 22 4 0 75:6 70
8 Ravan 26 19 3 4 54:14 60
9 Shamkir 52 14 14 24 53:74 56
10 Susa 52 10 16 26 41:64 46
11 SumQayit FK 26 13 5 8 34:26 44
12 Mingachevir 52 10 13 29 38:95 43
13 Bilajary 26 10 6 10 37:33 36
14 Taraggi 26 9 4 13 28:30 31
15 Salyan 26 9 4 13 26:43 31
16 Goyazan Qazax 52 6 8 38 39:124 26
17 MOIK Baku 26 7 4 15 34:44 25
18 Adliyya Baku 26 3 4 19 13:67 13
Promotion - Premier League 2012/2013 (Main)