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Stadium Background

Salyan vs Sahdag Qusar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First Division 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Salyan
30%
Draws
43%
Sahdag Qusar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sahdag Qusar have won more games recently than Salyan.
  • Model gives Sahdag Qusar a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sahdag Qusar have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Salyan Clean Sheet 18%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salyan Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played 30 49
Wins 11 28
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2012 I Liqa
Salyan vs Sahdag Qusar
0:0
Oct 26, 2011 Azerbaijan Cup
Sahdag Qusar vs Salyan
4:1
Sep 11, 2011 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Salyan
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salyan 15 / 100
Sahdag Qusar 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salyan Sahdag Qusar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salyan scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Salyan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sahdag Qusar let in goals in 55% of their last 49 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sahdag Qusar
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salyan

(Home)
12 May
Salyan
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
28 Apr
Goyazan Qazax
1 : 1
Salyan
21 Apr
Salyan
2 : 1
Taraggi
14 Apr
Shamkir
1 : 0
Salyan
08 Apr
Salyan
2 : 0
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

Sahdag Qusar

(Away)
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokbatan 52 36 7 9 92:33 115
2 Sahdag Qusar 52 26 14 12 91:55 92
3 Bakili Baku 52 27 9 16 73:52 90
4 MKT Araz Imisli 52 26 6 20 84:77 84
5 Karvan 52 23 12 17 81:62 81
6 ANSAD Neftcala 52 21 13 18 70:64 76
7 Abseron 26 22 4 0 75:6 70
8 Ravan 26 19 3 4 54:14 60
9 Shamkir 52 14 14 24 53:74 56
10 Susa 52 10 16 26 41:64 46
11 SumQayit FK 26 13 5 8 34:26 44
12 Mingachevir 52 10 13 29 38:95 43
13 Bilajary 26 10 6 10 37:33 36
14 Taraggi 26 9 4 13 28:30 31
15 Salyan 26 9 4 13 26:43 31
16 Goyazan Qazax 52 6 8 38 39:124 26
17 MOIK Baku 26 7 4 15 34:44 25
18 Adliyya Baku 26 3 4 19 13:67 13
Promotion - Premier League 2012/2013 (Main)