Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Salzburg vs Greuther Furth

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Verhounig P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Salzburg and Greuther Furth finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salzburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Salzburg
30%
Draws
34%
Greuther Furth
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salzburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salzburg come out ahead of Greuther Furth on wins alone.
  • Salzburg are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Salzburg have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Salzburg Clean Sheet 15%
Greuther Furth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salzburg Greuther Furth
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Salzburg vs Greuther Furth
1:0
Oct 8, 2015 Club Friendly
Greuther Furth vs Salzburg
1:1
Jan 25, 2012 Club Friendly
Greuther Furth vs Salzburg
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salzburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Verhounig P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Greuther Furth Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salzburg 35 / 100
Greuther Furth 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salzburg Greuther Furth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Salzburg scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Greuther Furth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Salzburg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Salzburg VS Greuther Furth
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%