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Salzburg vs Greuther Furth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Verhounig P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Salzburg and Greuther Furth finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salzburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Salzburg
30%
Draws
23%
Greuther Furth
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salzburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salzburg come out ahead of Greuther Furth on wins alone.
  • Salzburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Salzburg have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Salzburg Clean Sheet 20%
Greuther Furth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salzburg Greuther Furth
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.32 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Salzburg vs Greuther Furth
1:0
Oct 8, 2015 Club Friendly
Greuther Furth vs Salzburg
1:1
Jan 25, 2012 Club Friendly
Greuther Furth vs Salzburg
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salzburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Verhounig P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Greuther Furth Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salzburg 85 / 100
Greuther Furth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salzburg Greuther Furth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salzburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Salzburg scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Greuther Furth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Salzburg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Salzburg VS Greuther Furth
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Salzburg

(Home)
02 Oct
Salzburg
1 : 2
BW Linz
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3
Salzburg
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Greuther Furth

(Away)
01 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 0
Greuther Furth
18 Sept
Greuther Furth
1 : 1
Magdeburg
12 Sept
Bochum
1 : 1
Greuther Furth
06 Sept
Greuther Furth
0 : 1
Heidenheim
29 Aug
Energie Cottbus
3 : 4
Greuther Furth
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