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Salzburg vs Mamelodi Sundowns

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Salzburg host Mamelodi Sundowns in the Club Friendly. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Salzburg have averaged 3 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Mamelodi Sundowns's 0.88 scored and 0.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Salzburg slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 0.88) point toward Mamelodi Sundowns. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Salzburg
30%
Draws
28%
Mamelodi Sundowns
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salzburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mamelodi Sundowns lately — more wins on the board than Salzburg.
  • Model gives Salzburg a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Salzburg Clean Sheet 20%
Mamelodi Sundowns Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salzburg Mamelodi Sundowns
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 3 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Salzburg vs Mamelodi Sundowns
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salzburg 85 / 100
Mamelodi Sundowns 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salzburg Mamelodi Sundowns

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salzburg's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Salzburg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mamelodi Sundowns has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Salzburg VS Mamelodi Sundowns
3 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Salzburg

(Home)
01 Aug
Salzburg
1 : 0
Hartberg
25 Jul
SV Oberwart
1 : 7
Salzburg
18 Jul
Energie Cottbus
0 : 5
Salzburg
15 Jul
Salzburg
1 : 2
Basaksehir
15 Jul
Salzburg
0 : 3
Gamba Osaka
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Mamelodi Sundowns

(Away)
27 Jul
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 1
MC Alger
24 Jul
Al Hilal
2 : 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
21 Jul
Hertha Berlin
1 : 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
29 May
Mamelodi Sundowns
3 : 1
RB Leipzig
24 May
FAR Rabat
1 : 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
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