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Salzburg W vs St. Polten W Prediction & H2H Stats

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mattner-Trembleau S.
Assist: Brunold C.
13' Event
Rukavina M.
Assist: Klein J.
36' Event
Brunold C.
Assist: Peneau L.

AI Match Summary

St. Polten W in this Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Polten W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Salzburg W
20%
Draws
40%
St. Polten W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • St. Polten W have won more games recently than Salzburg W.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on St. Polten W taking it.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Polten W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Salzburg W Clean Sheet 10%
St. Polten W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salzburg W St. Polten W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 21
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.47 2.84
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Salzburg W
2:0
May 17, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Salzburg W vs St. Polten W
0:3
May 9, 2026 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Salzburg W
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Salzburg W
6:1
Sep 6, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Salzburg W vs St. Polten W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salzburg W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

St. Polten W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mattner-Trembleau S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rukavina M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salzburg W 10 / 100
St. Polten W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salzburg W St. Polten W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Polten W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Salzburg W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Salzburg W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

St. Polten W has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Salzburg W VS St. Polten W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salzburg W

(Home)
03 Oct
Salzburg W
3 : 1
First Vienna W
26 Sept
Rapid Vienna W
0 : 1
Salzburg W
19 Sept
LASK Linz W
0 : 0
Salzburg W
12 Sept
Salzburg W
1 : 3
SCR Altach W
29 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 0
Salzburg W
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St. Polten W

(Away)
04 Oct
St. Polten W
2 : 2
Sturm Graz W
30 Sept
Malmo FF W
3 : 0
St. Polten W
26 Sept
St. Polten W
4 : 0
Union Kleinmunchen W
23 Sept
St. Polten W
0 : 2
Malmo FF W
19 Sept
St. Polten W
9 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria Vienna W 6 2 4 0 58:8 62
2 St. Polten W 6 4 2 0 72:13 60
3 Sturm Graz W 6 1 1 4 47:35 38
4 Salzburg W 6 0 3 3 37:43 31
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)