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Salzburg W vs Sturm Graz W

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Wirnsberger A.
Assist: Krejcova L.
45'
Sub
Gritzner V. In: Krammer K.
Out: Gritzner V.
46'
Sub
Gierzinger C. In: Lutz V.
Out: Gierzinger C.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Salzburg W and Sturm Graz W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sturm Graz W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Salzburg W
40%
Draws
29%
Sturm Graz W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sturm Graz W come out ahead of Salzburg W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Salzburg W Clean Sheet 20%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salzburg W Sturm Graz W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Salzburg W
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Salzburg W vs Sturm Graz W
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Salzburg W
5:5
Sep 21, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Salzburg W vs Sturm Graz W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salzburg W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sturm Graz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wirnsberger A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salzburg W 32 / 100
Sturm Graz W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salzburg W Sturm Graz W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Sturm Graz W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Sturm Graz W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Salzburg W scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Salzburg W VS Sturm Graz W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria Vienna W624058:862
2St. Polten W642072:1360
3Sturm Graz W611447:3538
4Salzburg W603337:4331