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Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli

Jordan Jordan

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Al-Qudah H.
60' Event
Al-Qudah H.
65' Event
Abu Kabir A.

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sama Al Sarhan
15%
Draws
85%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sama Al Sarhan haven't matched Al Ahli's recent run of results.
  • Al Ahli are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Ahli here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sama Al Sarhan Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sama Al Sarhan Al Ahli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 3 10
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 0.73 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Premier League
Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli
2:3
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Sama Al Sarhan
0:4
Dec 27, 2025 Shield Cup
Al Ahli vs Sama Al Sarhan
2:1
Aug 14, 2025 Premier League
Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sama Al Sarhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Al-Qudah H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Kabir A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sama Al Sarhan 10 / 100
Al Ahli 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sama Al Sarhan Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Al Ahli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Sama Al Sarhan's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Ahli's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sama Al Sarhan VS Al Ahli
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sama Al Sarhan

(Home)
08 May
Shabab Al Ordon
2 : 0
Sama Al Sarhan
03 May
Sama Al Sarhan
0 : 2
Al Hussein
27 Apr
Al Ramtha
2 : 0
Sama Al Sarhan
23 Apr
Sama Al Sarhan
0 : 4
Al Hussein
14 Apr
Sama Al Sarhan
2 : 3
Al Ahli
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Al Ahli

(Away)
08 May
Al Wehdat
2 : 0
Al Ahli
04 May
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al Buqaa
24 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 2
Al-Faisaly Amman
14 Apr
Sama Al Sarhan
2 : 3
Al Ahli
08 Apr
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Hussein
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 27 19 5 3 70:17 62
2 Al-Faisaly Amman 27 17 5 5 52:25 56
3 Al Wehdat 27 16 6 5 45:19 54
4 Al Ramtha 27 13 9 5 40:26 48
5 Al Salt 27 9 7 11 33:35 34
6 Al Jazeera Amman 27 8 7 12 28:45 31
7 Shabab Al Ordon 27 7 8 12 22:37 29
8 Al Buqaa 27 7 7 13 41:66 28
9 Al Ahli 27 5 9 13 26:44 24
10 Sama Al Sarhan 27 1 3 23 15:58 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)