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Sama vs Al Karmal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jordan Jordan

Jordan Cup 2023/2024
Sama Logo

Sama

Fri, Aug 25, 2023
1 - 0
04:00 PM
Al Karmal Logo

Al Karmal

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Sama advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sama
15%
Draws
28%
Al Karmal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Karmal come out ahead of Sama on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Karmal's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Al Karmal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sama, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Sama Clean Sheet 15%
Al Karmal Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sama Al Karmal
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 4
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2023 Jordan Cup
Sama vs Al Karmal
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sama 23 / 100
Al Karmal 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sama Al Karmal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karmal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karmal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Al Karmal has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sama found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (7 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sama VS Al Karmal
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sama

(Home)
20 Oct
Al Hussein
10 : 1
Sama
28 Sept
Moghayer Al Sarhan
1 : 0
Sama
25 Aug
Sama
1 : 0
Al Karmal
18 Aug
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 0
Sama
31 Jul
Hartha
0 : 3
Sama
Page 1 of 2

Al Karmal

(Away)
04 Nov
Al Hussein
6 : 0
Al Karmal
17 Oct
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 7
Al Karmal
25 Aug
Sama
1 : 0
Al Karmal
30 Jul
Al Karmal
0 : 1
Deir Alla
14 Aug
Al Jalil
1 : 0
Al Karmal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shabab Al Ordon -
TBD -
Der Abi Saeed -
Al Tora -
Al Sareeh -
TBD -
Kfarsoum 0
Al Taibah 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
El Alia -
Maan -
TBD -
TBD -
Ittihad Al Ramtha -
Al Ramtha -
TBD -
Wadi Al Rayyan 2
Rabaa Serhan 1
Sama Al Sarhan -
TBD -
Al Khaledeya 1
Umm Al Qotain 2
Moghayer Al Sarhan -
TBD -
Sama 1
Al Karmal 0
Al Wehdat -
TBD -
Ittihad Jerash 2
Saham 1
Al Hussein -
TBD -
TBD -
Amman -
Al Hashemeya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Yarmouk -
Al Jalil -
TBD -
Balama 1
Doqarah 4
Aqaba -
TBD -
Al Wehda 4
Shabab Hwarah 2
Al Salt -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) -
Al Jazeera Amman -
TBD -
Ghor Al Safi 0
Marj Al Hamam 1
Sahab -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Buqaa -
Al Faisaly Amman -
TBD -
Hartha 1
Al Husn 0
1/16-finals
Shabab Al Ordon 3
Der Abi Saeed 1
Al Sareeh 2
Al Taibah 0
Al Ahli 2
El Alia 0
Maan 2
Ittihad Al Ramtha 0
Al Ramtha 6
Wadi Al Rayyan 0
Sama Al Sarhan 1
Umm Al Qotain 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan 1
Sama 0
Al Wehdat 2
Ittihad Jerash 0
Al Hussein 2
Amman 1
Al Hashemeya 0
Al Yarmouk 1
Al Jalil 3
Doqarah 2
Aqaba 3
Al Wehda 0
Al Salt 2
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) 1
Al Jazeera Amman 1
Marj Al Hamam 0
Sahab 1
Al Buqaa 0
Al Faisaly Amman 8
Hartha 0
1/8-finals
Shabab Al Ordon 1
Al Sareeh 0
Al Ahli 0
Maan 1
Al Ramtha 4
Sama Al Sarhan 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan 0
Al Wehdat 1
Al Hussein 4
Al Yarmouk 0
Al Jalil 0
Aqaba 1
Al Salt 2
Al Jazeera Amman 1
Sahab 1
Al Faisaly Amman 0
Quarter-finals
Shabab Al Ordon 2
Maan 1
Al Ramtha 1
Al Wehdat 3
Al Hussein 4
Aqaba 1
Al Salt 2
Sahab 1
Semi-finals
Shabab Al Ordon 0
Al Wehdat 1
Al Hussein 2
Al Salt 1
Final
Al Wehdat 2
Al Hussein 1