Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samambaia U20 vs Ceilandense U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense U20 2023 game between Samambaia U20 and Ceilandense U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Samambaia U20
35%
Draws
15%
Ceilandense U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Samambaia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Samambaia U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Samambaia U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Samambaia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ceilandense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samambaia U20 Ceilandense U20
Matches Played 36 35
Wins 16 2
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 26
Goals Scored 2.06 0.91
Goals Conceded 1 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Samambaia U20 vs Ceilandense U20
1:1
Jun 20, 2021 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandense U20 vs Samambaia U20
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samambaia U20 85 / 100
Ceilandense U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samambaia U20 Ceilandense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samambaia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceilandense U20 has conceded goals in 91% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Samambaia U20's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Solid form: Samambaia U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samambaia U20 VS Ceilandense U20
2.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Samambaia U20

(Home)
08 Aug
Real Brasilia U20
1 : 0
Samambaia U20
01 Aug
Samambaia U20
0 : 0
Real Brasilia U20
25 Jul
Legiao U20
1 : 4
Samambaia U20
18 Jul
Samambaia U20
8 : 0
Samambaense U20
11 Jul
Samambaia U20
6 : 0
Candango U20
Page 1 of 8

Ceilandense U20

(Away)
26 Jul
Ceilandense U20
0 : 8
Real Brasilia U20
18 Jul
Ceilandia U20
1 : 1
Ceilandense U20
12 Jul
Santa Maria U20
3 : 1
Ceilandense U20
04 Jul
Ceilandense U20
2 : 2
Brasilia U20
21 Jun
Ceilandense U20
0 : 0
Luziania U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 8 6 2 0 25:4 20
2 Canaa U20 8 6 2 0 20:6 20
3 Luziania U20 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 ARUC U20 8 4 0 4 14:11 12
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
6 Botafogo DF U20 8 3 0 5 15:22 9
7 Samambaia U20 8 1 2 5 6:13 5
8 Brasilia U20 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
9 Ceilandense U20 8 0 1 7 6:24 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital DF U20 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
2 Gama U20 8 4 2 2 14:4 14
3 Santa Maria U20 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Brazlandia U20 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
5 Paranoa U20 8 3 3 2 12:6 12
6 Real Brasilia U20 8 2 5 1 15:6 11
7 Planaltina U20 8 2 4 2 16:12 10
8 Legiao U20 8 2 0 6 8:18 6
9 Samambaense U20 8 0 0 8 4:37 0
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)